Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas (25) drives past Las Vegas Aces forward NaLyssa Smith (3) at Mortgage Matchup Center  in Phoenix, on June 17, 2026.
Joe Rondone/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 6/20/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Seattle Storm Phoenix Mercury
Team Records 3-13 4-12
Spread +6.5 -110 -6.5 -110
Moneyline +215 -265
Total Over 163.5 (-105) Under 163.5 (-115)
Where Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
When Saturday, June 20, 2026
Time 03:07 PM EDT
TV ABC

The Seattle Storm and the Phoenix Mercury meet Saturday in WNBA action from the Mortgage Matchup Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on June 3rd, 2026, by a final score of 72-68, making it back-to-back wins for Phoenix in this head-to-head matchup.

Seattle Storm Recap

The Seattle Storm come into this game looking to shake off a 94-89 loss at the hands of Portland last time out to sit at 3-13 this season. After this game, Seattle will head home for a game against the Dallas Wings.

Storm Lose 9 Straight

Flau’jae Johnson has 11.5 PPG along with 5.3 RPG. Dominique Malonga has 14 PPG with 6.3 RPG to lead the Storm in rebounding and Natisha Hiedeman has 14.7 PPG with 2.5 RPG and 4.2 APG. Awa Fam has 10 PPG with 4.9 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Storm so far this season. Zia Cooke has 8 PPG with 1.9 RPG and Jade Melbourne has 8.9 PPG with 3.4 APG as well this season.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to shake off their 86-76 loss at the hands of the Las Vegas Aces in their last game to sit at 4-12 on the year. After this game the Mercury will head on the road for the first leg of their back-to-back against the Indiana Fever.

Mercury Drop 4 In A Row

Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 19.3 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.2 PPG with 7.1 RPG and a team-high 8.3 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 10.4 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 10.3 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack also has 9.5 PPG with 8.3 RPG as well this season to lead the Mercury in rebounding.

Seattle Storm @ Phoenix Mercury Betting Trends: June 20, 2026


Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

  • The Storm have lost each of their last nine games.
  • The Mercury have won each of their last four day games against the Storm at Mortgage Matchup Center.
  • The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Storm’s last eight games.
  • The Storm have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six day games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Seattle Storm will win

  • The Mercury have lost each of their last seven home games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The underdogs have won six of the Storm’s last seven games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
  • The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Storm have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Mercury teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Ten of the Mercury’s last 11 home games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Four of the Storm’s last five games against the Mercury following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

  • Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (8.3) this season.
  • Kahleah Copper has made 2+ free throws in 14 consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Seattle Storm Player Facts

  • Natisha Hiedeman has hit 5+ three-pointers in two consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Flau’jae Johnson has recorded two games with 5+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for opponent three-point percentage this season (37.1%).
  • The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goals made per game this season (27.8).
  • The Seattle Storm rank 14th for point differential per game this season (-6.6).
  • The Seattle Storm rank 14th for opponent rebounds per game this season (36.8).

Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction

I’m on the Storm and the points in this one. Just plain and simple, I don’t think the Phoenix Mercury should be laying points against anyone, even if they’ve managed to be competitive against some of the better teams in the WNBA this season. The Storm only lost the first meeting by 4 point and while the Storm have been one of the worst teams in the WNBA this season, so have Phoenix but with a lot more expectation which makes them the biggest disappointment in the WNBA as well this season. I’ll take Seattle and the points here by default.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Seattle +7.5

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