Portland Fire vs Washington Mystics Prediction 7/16/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Portland Fire and the Washington Mystics meet Thursday in WNBA action from the CareFirst Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Portland Fire vs. Washington Mystics prediction.

Matchup History

The Washington Mystics won the lone meeting between these two in a thrilling 124-123 OT victory back on June 28th, 2026. 

Portland Fire Recap

The Portland Fire come into this game looking to shake off a 90-87 loss at the hands of Connecticut last time out to sit at 10-14 this season. After this game, the Fire will head on the road for a game against the Minnesota Lynx.

Fire Lose 5 Of Last 7

Carla Leite has 15.2 PPG with 5.6 APG while Bridget Carleton’s added 13.6 PPG with 3.7 RPG and 1.9 APG. Megan Gustafson has 11.9 PPG with 3.8 RPG and Sarah Ashlee Barker has 10.7 PPG with 4.5 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Fire so far this season. Emily Engstler also has 8.9 PPG with a team-high 5.2 RPG as well for Portland this season. 

Washington Mystics Recap

The Washington Mystics come into this game looking to add on to their 79-62 win over the Toronto Tempo last time out to sit at 12-10 this season. After this game, the Mystics will head on the road for a back-to-back with the Golden State Valkyries.

Mystics Win 7 Of Last 10

Sonia Citron leads the Mystics in scoring with 17.3 PPG along with 3.9 RPG and 3.7 APG while Shakira Austin has 14.5 PPG with 8.2 RPG and Kiki Iriafen also has 15.1 PPG with a team-high 8.6 RPG to lead the Mystics on the glass and Michaela Onyenwere has 12.5 PPG with 3.1 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Washington. Georgia Amoore also has 5.7 PPG and a team-high 3.9 APG to lead the Mystics in assists.

Portland Fire @ Washington Mystics Betting Trends: July 16, 2026

Why the Washington Mystics will win

• The Mystics have won six of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Fire have lost six of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mystics have covered the spread in four of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Fire have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three night games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Portland Fire will win

• The Mystics have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
• The road team has won three of the Fire’s last four games.
• The Mystics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in 11 of the Mystics’ last 12 games at CareFirst Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Fire’s last six games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Mystics’ last eight games as favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Washington Mystics Player Facts

• Kiki Iriafen ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for second chance points per game (3.8) this season.
• Michaela Onyenwere ranks 5th amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.8%) this season.

Portland Fire Player Facts

• Emily Engstler has recorded 1+ threes, 1+ blocks and 1+ steals in three consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Carla Leite has made 3+ free throws in nine consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Mystics rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (36.8).
• The Washington Mystics rank 14th for three-point percentage this season (28.7%).
• The Portland Fire rank 14th for point differential per game this season (-6.2).
• The Portland Fire rank 14th for offensive rebounds per game this season (7.5).

Portland Fire vs. Washington Mystics Prediction

I’m looking at the Fire and the points here. I just haven’t been able to trust the Mystics in spots where they’ve been the favorite this season and honestly, I don’t expect that to change here. This was an OT thriller last time these teams met, and I think that we could have another entertaining affair here. Give me the Fire and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Portland +5.5