Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction 6/24/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Phoenix Mercury and the Indiana Fever meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever prediction.

Matchup History

The Indiana Fever won the most recent meeting between these two teams on Monday by a final score of 86-77, snapping Phoenix’s two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to rebound from their loss to the Fever on Monday to sit at 5-13 this season. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for a game against the Toronto Tempo.

Mercury Lose 5 Of Last 6

Entering Monday, Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 19.1 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 13.8 PPG with 6.8 RPG and a team-high 8.4 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 10.4 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 10.3 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack also has 9.5 PPG with 8.4 RPG as well this season to lead the Mercury in rebounding.

Indiana Fever Recap

The Indiana Fever come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Mercury from Monday to sit at 10-7 this season. After this game, the Fever will take on the Los Angeles Sparks at home.

Fever Snap Two-Game Slide

Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 21.1 PPG along with 2.6 APG while Caitlin Clark has 20.8 PPG with 4.3 RPG and a team-high 8.1 APG to lead the Fever in assists. Aliyah Boston also has 17.2 PPG with 8.6 RPG and 3 APG and Sophie Cunningham has 10.4 PPG with 2.5 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Fever so far this season. Monique Billings also has 5.7 PPG with 4.7 RPG this season.

Phoenix Mercury @ Indiana Fever Betting Trends: June 24, 2026

Why the Indiana Fever will win

• The Fever have won each of their last 10 games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mercury have lost each of their last eight games following a road loss.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games following a road loss.
• The Fever have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against the Mercury.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Mercury have won five of their last six road games against the Fever following a road loss.
• The Fever have lost three of their last four games following a home win.
• The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against the Fever following a road loss.
• The Fever have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse against Mercury teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Mercury’s last nine road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last six Wednesday games between the Fever and Mercury have gone OVER the total points line.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

• Aliyah Boston is one of only two qualified player in the league to be leading their team in blocks per game (1.3) and three-point shooting percentage (42.9%) this season.
• Kelsey Mitchell ranks 4th amongst qualified players for points per game (20.9) this season.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (8.4) this season.
• Kahleah Copper has made 2+ free throws in 16 consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Indiana Fever rank 1st for points per game this season (92.1).
• The Indiana Fever rank 14th for steals per game this season (6.1).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for opponent three-point percentage this season (36.1%).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goals made per game this season (27.9).

Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever Prediction

I’m backing the Fever in this one. I get the case to be made for the Mercury in a quick revenge spot, the problem is I don’t think the Mercury are good enough to slow down the Fever. When the Fever are hitting those shots from outside, it’s like an avalanche that comes out of nowhere and outside of Alyssa Thomas and Kahleah Copper, there’s not much else going for Phoenix right now and I think the Mercury take another one on the chin. Give me the Fever.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Indiana -8.5