Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction 6/9/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Phoenix Mercury and the Golden State Valkyries meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the Chase Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries prediction.

Matchup History

The Golden State Valkyries won the last meeting between these two teams back on May 10th, 2026, by a final score of 95-79 to snap Phoenix’s four-game head-to-head win streak with Golden State’s first ever win over the Mercury.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to add on to their 78-72 win over Portland last time out to sit at 4-8 this season. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for a game against the Dallas Wings.

Mercury Win Back-To-Back Games

Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 18.2 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15 PPG with 7 RPG and a team-high 7.5 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 11.8 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 11 PPG while Natasha Mack has 10.3 PPG with 8.3 RPG to lead the Mercury in rebounding and to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. 

Golden State Valkyries Recap

The Golden State Valkyries come into this game looking to bounce back from an 84-79 loss at the hands of the Las Vegas Aces last time out to sit at 6-5 this season. After this game, the Valkyries will head on the road for a game against the Seattle Storm.

Valkyries Lose Back-To-Back Games

Gabby Williams leads Golden State in scoring with 14.5 PPG along with 3.9 RPG and 2.5 APG while Veronica Burton has 13.7 PPG with a team-high 5.5 APG to lead Golden State in assists. Janelle Salaun has 13.9 PPG with 3.7 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Golden State so far this season while Kayla Thornton’s chipped in 9.8 PPG with 5.5 RPG. 

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries Betting Trends: June 9, 2026

Why the Golden State Valkyries will win

• The Valkyries have won each of their last 11 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mercury have lost six of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Valkyries have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The road team has won each of the Mercury’s last three games.
• The Valkyries have lost four of their last five games following a road loss.
• The Mercury have covered the spread in four of their last five games after winning as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mercury’s last five road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Valkyries’ last five night games have gone OVER the total points line.

Golden State Valkyries Player Facts

• Janelle Salaün has hit 3+ three-pointers in five consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Kiah Stokes has recorded six games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Natasha Mack ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (70.7%) this season.
• Monique Akoa-Makani leads all Phoenix Mercury players for steals per 36 minutes (2.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for turnovers per game this season (9.9).
• The Golden State Valkyries rank 14th for field goal percentage this season (40.6%).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (16.9).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goals made per game this season (26.8).

Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Prediction

I’m on the Valkyries here. Golden State still possesses one of the strongest home court environments in the WNBA and I think that comes into play here. The issues Golden State’s had have come on the road and when they’ve taken the step up in class for the most part. Against inferior teams at home, the Valkyries have wins by 18 against the Fire, 27 against Connecticut and 16 against Phoenix. I’ll back Golden State in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Golden State -8.5