New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics Prediction 5/10/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty and the Washington Mystics meet Sunday in WNBA action from the CareFirst Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Washington Mystics prediction.

Matchup History

The New York Liberty currently ride a double-digit head-to-head win streak against the Mystics after a 75-66 win back on September 9, 2026.

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to add on to their 106-75 blowout win to start the year over the Connecticut Sun, sitting at 1-0 this season. After this game, the Liberty will head on the road again for a game against the Portland Fire.

Liberty Looking To Keep On The Front Foot

Breanna Stewart led the Liberty with 31 points on 10 of 17 shooting with 10 rebounds and 3 blocks for the double double while Marine Johannes added 17 points on 6 of 13 shooting with 5 threes and 5 rebounds. Julie Vanloo added 12 points and a team-high 11 assists along with 7 rebounds for the double-double while Betnjiah Laney-Hamilton added 12 points with 4 assists and Jonquel Jones added 10 pounts with 5 rebounds to cap off the scoring in double figures for New York in the win. 

Washington Mystics Recap

The Washington Mystics come into this game looking to add on to their season-opening 68-65 win over the Toronto Tempo last time out to sit at 1-0 this season. After this game, the Mystics will head on the road for a game against the Indiana Fever.

Mystics Looking For Upset

Sonia Citron led the way with 26 points on 9 of 12 shooting with 3 threes while Shakira Austin added 18 points and 11 rebounds on 6 of 13 shooting. Kiki Iriafen added 12 points with a team-high 16 rebounds to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Washington in the win. 

New York Liberty @ Washington Mystics Betting Trends: May 10, 2026

Why the Washington Mystics will win

• The Liberty have lost nine of their last 11 road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Mystics have covered the spread in eight of their last nine day games against the Liberty.

Why the New York Liberty will win

• The Liberty have won each of their last 10 games against the Mystics.
• The Mystics have lost each of their last nine games against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
• The Mystics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four day games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The road team has covered the spread in four of the Mystics’ last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Liberty’s last eight Sunday games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Mystics’ last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Washington Mystics Player Facts

• Sonia Citron ranked 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.5%) last season.
• Kiki Iriafen ranked 4th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (8.5) last season.

New York Liberty Player Facts

• Breanna Stewart scored 20+ points in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Jonquel Jones ranked 5th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.4%) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Mystics ranked 1st for free throw attempts per game last season (20.7).
• The Washington Mystics recorded the longest losing streak in the WNBA last season (10 games).
• The New York Liberty ranked 1st for opponent three-point percentage last season (31.5%).
• The New York Liberty ranked 1st for free throw percentage last season (83.7%).

New York Liberty vs. Washington Mystics Prediction

I’m on the Liberty in this one. This line just feels suspiciously low, but the big reason that the Mystics won against Toronto, narrowly mind you, was the fact that they dominated the glass against an undersized Tempo team. New York is the farthest thing from undersized and I think that advantage gets negated here and the Liberty, who already look scary despite no Sabrina Ionescu and Satou Sabally, can take care of business on the road in this one. Give me New York.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York -5.5