Jun 17, 2025; Brooklyn, New York, USA;  New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu (20) gestures after scoring in the fourth quarter against the Atlanta Dream at Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 06/19/2025 Picks

Pick details

Phoenix (9-4) vs New York (10-1)

June 19, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York -11 — Over/Under: 162.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Mercury and the New York Liberty meet Thursday in WNBA action from the Barlcays Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty prediction.

Matchup History

The New York Liberty won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 26th, 2024, by a final score of 84-70, marking their 5th win in the last 6 head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to build on their 83-75 win over the Connecticut Sun from their last matchup to sit at 9-4 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road again for a matchup with the Chicago Sky.

Mercury Win Three In A Row

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 20.6 PPG along with 7.9 RPG, 2.9 APG and 1.6 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.4 PPG with team-highs of 6.6 RPG and 9 APG to cap off the pair of double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 9 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 7.6 PPG. Kathryn Westbeld has also chipped in 6.8 PPG with 3.4 RPG while Kitija Laksa has 8.6 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 79.6 PPG on 42.3% shooting from the field, 32.8% from three-point range and 77.6% from the foul line so far this season.

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to add on to their 86-81 win over the Atlanta Dream last time out to sit at 10-1 on the year. After this game, the Liberty will head on the road to start a road trip against the Seattle Storm.

Liberty Bounce Back From First Loss

Sabrina Ionescu leads the Liberty in scoring with 20.8 PPG along with 3.9 RPG and 5.1 APG while Breanna Stewart has 19.8 PPG with 5.5 RPG and 3.5 APG. Jonquel Jones has 13.4 PPG with a team-high 10.3 RPG to lead the Liberty in rebounding and to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty so far this season. Natasha Cloud has 8.8 PPG with 3.7 RPG and a team-high 6 APG to lead the Liberty in assists while Kennedy Burke has also chipped in 8.5 PPG and 2.9 RPG as well this season. As a team, New York is averaging 89.8 PPG on 46.9% shooting from the field, 35.3% from three and 81.1% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Prediction

I’m backing the Liberty here. This is just a tough spot for the Mercury on a back-to-back and there’s no greater shock to the system than going from a game against the lowly Sun to a matchup with the defending champions in their own building. The Liberty got back on track last time out and I think that they do enough to get the win here. Give me the Liberty in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York Liberty -11

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