New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction 9/18/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx meet Friday in WNBA action from the Target Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx prediction.

Matchup History

The Minnesota Lynx won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 11th, 2026, by a final score of 90-85, snapping New York’s two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to add on to their 85-66 win over Chicago last time out to sit at 25-16 this season. After this game, New York will head on the road for a game against the Toronto Tempo.

Liberty Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight

Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty in scoring with 20.4 PPG along with 8.1 RPG and 3.2 APG so far this season. Four more Liberty players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Sabrina Ionescu who has 15.1 PPG with 4.0 RPG and 4.7 APG, Jonquel Jones with 14.6 PPG and a team-high 9.0 RPG on the glass, Satou Sabally with 10.4 PPG and 2.8 RPG, and Leonie Fiebich who adds 10.2 PPG with 3.0 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for New York. Pauline Astier also has 9.2 PPG with 2.5 RPG and a team-high 3.4 APG to lead the Liberty in assists up to this point in the year.

Minnesota Lynx Recap

The Minnesota Lynx come into this game looking to rebound from an 89-81 loss at the hands of Atlanta last time out to sit at 31-9 on the year. After this game, the Lynx will take on the Connecticut Sun on the road.

Lynx Lose Back-To-Back Games

Olivia Miles leads the Lynx in scoring with 19.7 PPG along with 4.6 RPG and a team-high 6.0 APG so far this season. Four more Lynx players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Kayla McBride who has 18.1 PPG with 3.1 RPG and 2.2 APG, Napheesa Collier with 18.0 PPG and 7.3 RPG, Natasha Howard with 14.9 PPG, 3.4 APG, and a team-high 7.7 RPG on the glass, and Courtney Williams who adds 14.3 PPG with 5.0 RPG and 4.3 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Minnesota up to this point in the year. Nia Brodie also has 6.4 PPG with 4.5 RPG as well for the Lynx this season.

New York Liberty @ Minnesota Lynx Betting Trends: September 18, 2026

Why the Minnesota Lynx will win

• The Lynx have won each of their last 10 Friday home games.
• The Liberty have lost nine of their last 10 games at Target Center against Lynx teams that held a winning record.
• The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 12 road games.
• The Lynx have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games following a road loss.

Why the New York Liberty will win

• The road team has won five of the Lynx’s last six games.
• The Lynx have lost four of their last five games against the Liberty after losing as favorites.
• The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games at Target Center.
• The road team has covered the spread in four of the Lynx’s last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Liberty’s last five road games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Lynx’s last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Minnesota Lynx Player Facts

• Kayla McBride has hit 2+ three-pointers in 23 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Natasha Howard has recorded 1+ blocks and 1+ steals in three consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

New York Liberty Player Facts

• Sabrina Ionescu has recorded 1+ assists in 236 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Breanna Stewart has made 4+ free throws in five consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+7.9).
• The Minnesota Lynx are the only team to rank in the top-three for both steals and blocks per game this season.
• The New York Liberty rank 14th for steals per game this season (6.1).
• The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (85.0%).

New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. Liberty games have been flying over the number on the road this season and these are two teams that are still playing for positioning despite being locked into a playoff spot. For me, there could be some hangover after the FIBA break, but I think we’re still headed over the number. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 177.5