Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction 7/3/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Minnesota Lynx and the New York Liberty meet Friday in WNBA action from the Barclays Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty prediction.

Matchup History

The New York Liberty won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 19th, 2025, by a final score of 85-75, snapping Minnesota’s three-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.

Minnesota Lynx Recap

The Minnesota Lynx come into this game looking to add on to their 85-77 win over the Dallas Wings last time out to sit at 15-4 this season. After this game, the Lynx will take on the Connecticut Sun in the first leg of a home and home.

Lynx Win Back-To-Back Games

Kayla McBride has 14.6 PPG along with 3.9 RPG while Olivia Miles has 18.7 PPG with 4.8 RPG and a team-high 5.7 APG to lead the Lynx in assists. Courtney Williams has 15.8 PPG with 5.3 RPG and 4.1 APG. Natasha Howard has 17.7 PPG with 8.2 RPG and 2.9 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Minnesota so far this season. 

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to add on to their 93-85 win over the Aces last time out in the Commissioners Cup final. After this game, the Liberty will take on the Dallas Wings at home.

Liberty Looking To Add Onto Momentum

Breanna Stewart has 19.2 PPG along with 8.5 RPG and 2.8 APG while Jonquel Jones has 15.2 PPG with 8.7 RPG and Pauline Astier has 10.1 PPG with 3.1 RPG and 3.8 APG. Satou Sabally has 10.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty this season.

Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty Betting Trends: July 3, 2026

Why the New York Liberty will win

• The Liberty have won each of their last 10 home games following a road loss.
• The Lynx have lost three of their last four games at Barclays Center.
• The Liberty have covered the spread in each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Minnesota Lynx will win

• The Lynx have won each of their last 10 night games.
• The Liberty have lost four of their last five games.
• The Lynx have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 road games.
• The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games against Lynx teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Liberty’s last nine home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Lynx’s last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.

New York Liberty Player Facts

• Sabrina Ionescu has recorded 1+ assists in 217 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Pauline Astier has recorded seven games with 2+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.

Minnesota Lynx Player Facts

• Kayla McBride has hit 4+ three-pointers in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Nia Coffey has recorded 2+ steals in three consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Liberty rank 14th for offensive rebounds per game this season (7.3).
• The New York Liberty rank 14th for steals per game this season (6.1).
• The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+11.2).
• The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (37.0).

Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty Prediction

I’m on the Lynx here. The Liberty winning the Commissioners Cup was nice, but they were at home and only won by 8 against an Aces team without A’Ja Wilson. The Lynx have defied the odds in a lot of spots this season and I think this could be another one here in all honesty. Give me Minnesota on the road here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Minnesota -2.5