Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun Prediction 7/8/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Connecticut Sun and the Minnesota Lynx meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the Mohegan Sun Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx prediction.

Matchup History

The Connecticut Sun won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 6th, by a final score of 90-89, snapping Minnesota’s four-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

Connecticut Sun Recap

The Connecticut Sun come into this game looking to add on to their upset win over Minnesota last time out to sit at 15-6 this season. After this game, the Sun will take on the Golden State Valkyries at home.

Sun Win 3 Of Last 4

Going into the matchup with Minnesota, Aneesah Morrow is averaging 11.7 PPG and 10.4 RPG while Brittney Griner has 12.1 PPG with 4.9 RPG and Leila Lacan has 11.9 PPG with 4.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Connecticut so far this season. Aaliyah Edwards has added 9.9 PPG with 3.6 RPG and Saniya Rivers has 3.6 APG as well this season. Diamond Miller also has 8.8 PPG with 2.1 RPG as well this season.

Minnesota Lynx Recap

The Minnesota Lynx come into this game looking to shake off their loss at the hands of Connecticut last time out to sit at 15-6 on the year. After this game, the Lynx will will take on the Liberty in a matchup at home.

Lynx Drop Back-To-Back Games

Kayla McBride has 14.6 PPG along with 3.9 RPG while Olivia Miles has 18.7 PPG with 4.8 RPG and a team-high 5.7 APG to lead the Lynx in assists. Courtney Williams has 15.8 PPG with 5.3 RPG and 4.1 APG. Natasha Howard has 17.7 PPG with 8.2 RPG and 2.9 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Minnesota so far this season. 

Minnesota Lynx @ Connecticut Sun Betting Trends: July 8, 2026

Why the Connecticut Sun will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Sun’s last four games at Mohegan Sun Arena.
• The Lynx have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Sun’s last six games.
• The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Minnesota Lynx will win

• The Lynx have won each of their last 10 Wednesday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Sun have lost each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
• The Lynx have covered the spread in each of their last four road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Sun have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games against Lynx teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Six of the Sun’s last seven games as underdogs following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the Lynx’s last five games at Mohegan Sun Arena have gone OVER the total points line.

Connecticut Sun Player Facts

• Brittney Griner has recorded 10+ rebounds in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Leila Lacan has recorded 2+ steals in four consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Minnesota Lynx Player Facts

• Kayla McBride has hit 4+ three-pointers in four consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Nia Coffey has recorded seven games with 2+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for point differential per game this season (-6.8).
• The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for assists per game this season (18.8).
• The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+9.4).
• The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.7%).

Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction

I’m backing the Lynx here. Do the Lynx have a lookahead spot with the Liberty on deck? Absolutely, but the Lynx are the head and shoulders better team here, and it’s not often that we see this Minnesota team drop back-to-back games, especially against the worst team in the league. Minnesota’s a better team than what they showed in the first leg of the back-to-back and I think they come out to take out some frustration ahead of that big game against New York. Give me Minnesota in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Minnesota -6.5