Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction 5/10/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Las Vegas Aces and the Los Angeles Sparks meet Sunday in WNBA action from the Crypto.com Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks prediction.

Matchup History

The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 103-75 back on September 11th, 2025, making it 4 wins for the Aces in the last 5 head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to shake off their 99-66 blowout loss at the hands of the Phoenix Mercury last time out to sit at 0-1 so far this season. After this game, the Aces will head on the road for a matchup against the Connecticut Sun.

Aces Looking For Bounce Back After Horrendous Showing

A’Ja Wilson led the Aces with 19 points on 8 of 15 shooting with 4 rebounds and 4 assists while Jackie Young added 12 points with 6 rebounds and 3 assists. NaLyssa Smith chipped in 11 points and 6 rebounds of her own while Chennedy Carter added 10 points on 5 of 8 shooting to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Aces in the losing effort. Chelsea Gray also added 4 points with a team-high 6 assists as well in the defeat.

Los Angeles Sparks Team Preview

The Los Angeles Sparks enter the 2026 season in absolute win-now mode as they look to snap a frustrating five-year playoff drought. Last year, the Sparks showed some signs of life behind star guard Kelsey Plum, who averaged 19.5 points in her first season in L.A., but they ultimately missed the postseason once again, finishing the year at 21-23, due to a defense that finished with the third-worst rating in the league. To fix their defensive identity, the front office made massive moves in the offseason to bring back Nneka Ogwumike alongside veteran defender Ariel Atkins. Pairing these proven veterans with Dearica Hamby and a healthy Cameron Brink, who is hoping to have her ACL injury in the past, gives teh Sparks one of the deeper frontcourts in the WNBA. Only time will tell if Plum can balance her aggressive scoring with traditional playmaking duties to enter the MVP conversation, and if this revamped, high-experience roster can finally tighten up on defense to secure a long-awaited playoff return for Los Angeles in 2026.

Las Vegas Aces @ Los Angeles Sparks Betting Trends: May 10, 2026

Why the Los Angeles Sparks will win

• The Sparks have won four of their last six games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites following a home loss.
• The Sparks have covered the spread in each of their last three day games against the Aces.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Aces have won 14 of their last 16 games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Sparks have lost 14 of their last 17 home games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Aces have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Sparks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Aces’ last 10 day games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Sparks’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Los Angeles Sparks Player Facts

• Dearica Hamby ranked 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (57.2%) last season.
• Kelsey Plum was one of only three qualified player in the league to lead their team in points (19.5) and assists (5.7) per game last season.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• A’ja Wilson ranked 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (23.4) last season.
• Chelsea Gray recorded 2+ blocks in four consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Los Angeles Sparks ranked 1st for free throws made per game last season (15.7).
• The Los Angeles Sparks scored 100+ points in three road games last season – most in the WNBA.
• The Las Vegas Aces ranked 1st for opponent blocks per game last season (2.6).
• The Las Vegas Aces recorded the longest winning streak in the WNBA last season (5 games).

Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. I just don’t think the Aces stay down for long especially when you get a sluggish offensive showing like the one we saw on Saturday, while this is the best and healthiest version of the Los Angeles Sparks we’ve seen in some time. I think the scoring will be fast and furious in this game on Sunday so give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 176.5