Jul 12, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Aces center A'ja Wilson (22) shoots the ball against Indiana Fever center-forward Aliyah Boston (7) during the third quarter of a WNBA basketball game at Michelob Ultra Arena. Mandatory Credit: Lucas Peltier-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever Prediction 8/6/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Las Vegas Aces Indiana Fever
Team Records 21-9 19-11
Spread -1.5 -112 +1.5 -108
Moneyline -118 -102
Total Over 195.5 (-105) Under 195.5 (-115)
Where Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
When Thursday, August 6, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EDT
TV Prime Video

The Las Vegas Aces and the Indiana Fever meet Thursday in WNBA action from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever prediction.

Matchup History

The Indiana Fever won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 12th, 2026, by a final score of 109-75, making it back-to-back wins for the Fever in this head-to-head matchup.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to add on to their 109-87 win over Atlanta last time out to sit at 21-10 this season. After this game, the Aces will head on the road for a game against the Minnesota Lynx.

Aces Win 3 Of Last 4

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26.8 PPG along with 9.8 RPG and 3.2 APG while NaLyssa Smith’s added 11.9 PPG with 5.9 RPG. Chelsea Gray’s added 12.6 PPG with 7.2 APG to lead the Aces in assists and Jackie Young also has 17.5 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 6.7 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Aces up to this point in the season.

Indiana Fever Recap

The Indiana Fever come into this game looking to bounce back from a 108-100 loss to Minnesota last time out to sit at 19-11 this season. After this game, the Fever will head on the road for a game against the Chicago Sky.

Fever Have Five-Game Win Streak Snapped

Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 23.5 PPG along with 2.7 APG while Caitlin Clark has 21.5 PPG with 3.8 RPG and a team-high 7.9 APG to lead the Fever in assists. Aliyah Boston also has 17.1 PPG with 8.2 RPG and 2.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Fever so far this season. Sophie Cunningham has 9.4 PPG with 2.4 RPG and Monique Billings also has 7.2 PPG with 5.5 RPG this season.

Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever Betting Trends: August 6, 2026


Why the Indiana Fever will win

  • The Fever have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Aces have lost four of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Fever have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

  • The Fever have lost 14 of their last 16 night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
  • The Aces have won 11 of their last 12 night games following a road win.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Fever’s last four games.
  • The Fever have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last nine night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Fever’s last six games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Aces’ last six night games have gone OVER the total points line.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

  • Sophie Cunningham ranks 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.2%) this season.
  • Kelsey Mitchell has scored 20+ points in 14 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

  • A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (26.6) this season.
  • Chelsea Gray ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Indiana Fever rank 1st for points per game this season (96.5).
  • The Indiana Fever rank 1st for opponent three-point field goals attempts per game this season (22.0).
  • The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for assists per game this season (22.5).
  • The Las Vegas Aces rank 14th for offensive rebounds per game this season (7.3).

Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever Prediction

I’m backing the Aces here. I know the Fever have won both meetings so far this season, but that double revenge spot sets up perfectly for the Aces here as those weren’t just two losses, they were two flat out blowouts and I think that the Aces haven’t forgotten that in the slightest. I’m looking for Las Vegas to exact some revenge here and I look for Indiana to take one on the chin here. Give me Las Vegas.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Las Vegas -1.5

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