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Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 6/11/25 WNBA Picks

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Phoenix Mercury (6-4) vs Dallas Wings (1-9)

June 11, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Phoenix Mercury -6.5 — Over/Under: 167

(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Wings and the Phoenix Mercury meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the PHX Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 100-94 back on July 10th, 2024. The win made it three in a row for the Mercury in this head-to-head matchup.

Dallas Wings Recap

The Dallas Wings come into this game looking to bounce back from an 81-65 loss at the hands of the Minnesota Lynx last time out to sit at 1-9 on the year. After this game, the Wings will head on the road again for a game against the Las Vegas Aces.

Wings Lose 5th In A Row

Arike Ogunbowale leads the Wings in scoring with 16.3 PPG along with 4 APG while Paige Bueckers has 14.7 PPG with 4.7 RPG and a team-high 6.7 APG to lead the Wings in the assist department this season. DiJonai Carrington has 12.6 PPG with 4.3 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Dallas so far this year. Maddy Siegrist has 9.9 PPG with 5.4 RPG and NaLyssa Smith has 7.2 PPG with 3.4 RPG while Myisha Hines-Allen has 7.1 PPG with a team-high 6 RPG and 3.1 APG to lead the Wings on the glass so far this season. Teaira McCowan also has 4.8 RPG as well this season. As a team, Dallas is averaging 81.6 PPG on 41.2% shooting from the field, 31.9% from three and 79.1% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to bounce back from their 89-77 loss at the hands of the Seattle Storm last time out to sit at 6-4 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for a game against the Las Vegas Aces.

Mercury Alternate Wins & Losses In 6 Straight Games

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 20.5 PPG along with 7.7 RPG, 3 APG and 1.7 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15.2 PPG with team-highs of 7.6 RPG and 8 APG to cap off the pair of double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 9.4 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.2 PPG. Kathryn Westbeld has also chipped in 7 PPG with 3.8 RPG while Kitija Laksa has 8.6 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 78.6 PPG on 41.9% shooting from the field, 32.1% from three-point range and 76.9% from the foul line so far this season.

Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction

I’m on the under here. I get the case to be made for either side here, but the fact is that the Mercury have been one of the better defensive teams in the WNBA this season and Dallas has had problems logging points against some of the better teams in the WNBA this season. On the other side, I think Phoenix tried to dictate the pace in this game and slows it down and we get a first to 80 wins kind of game here. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 167

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