The Phoenix Mercury and the Dallas Wings meet Thursday in WNBA action from the College Park Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on June 11^th, 2025, in Phoenix, by a final score of 93-80, making it four straight head-to-head wins for the Mercury in this matchup.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to bounce back from an 84-81 loss at the hands of the Las Vegas Aces last time out to slip to 12-5 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head home for a rematch against the Wings in the second leg of the home-and-home.

Mercury Have Six-Game Win Streak Snapped

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 19.1 PPG along with 8 RPG, 2.6 APG and 1.4 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.8 PPG with 7.3 RPG and 9.3 APG and Kahleah Copper has 13.4 PPG. Sami Whitcomb has chipped in 10.1 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 2.5 APG to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 8.7 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.2 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 9.3 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.6 PPG on 43.1% shooting from the field, 34.8% from three-point range and 79.5% from the foul line so far this season.

Dallas Wings Recap

The Dallas Wings come into this game looking to build on their 79-71 win over the Mystics last time out to sit at 5-13 on the year. After this game, the Wings will begin a road trip with the second leg of the home-and-home against the Mercury.

Wings Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight Games

Paige Bueckers leads the Wings in scoring and assists with 18.4 PPG and 5.8 APG along with 4.4 RPG while Arike Ogunbowale has 16.8 PPG with 3.9 APG this season. DiJonai Carrington has 11.8 PPG with 5.1 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Dallas so far this year. Maddy Siegrist has 9.4 PPG with 5.2 RPG and NaLyssa Smith has 6.7 PPG with 4.9 RPG while Myisha Hines-Allen has 6.8 PPG with a team-high 5.1 RPG and 2.9 APG to lead the Wings on the glass so far this season. As a team, Dallas is averaging 81.5 PPG on 41.6% shooting from the field, 31% from three and 81.2% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Prediction

I’m on the over here. I just don’t trust the Wings defensively that they’ve fixed their issues all of a sudden, and the Mercury, since adding the likes of Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas’ return from injury, have increased their offensive output. On the other side though, Dallas still can push the pace and crank out the offense and I think the Wings do enough to help us get up and over the total.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 166.5