Alabama State vs San José State Prediction 11/15/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Alabama State vs San José State Prediction

In this Alabama State vs San José State prediction, San José State is coming in as -12.5 home favorites. Both teams have identical records so far, with San José State having lost both games after winning its season opener and Alabama State coming off its first win of the season against a non-Division I team. In their only game against a Division I team they got destroyed by 66-97 on the road, while the Spartans have a +7 point differential at home and have won their only previous meeting against Alabama State by 13 points at home. Take San José State and lay the points.

San José State Spartans Preview

The San José State Spartans have a 1-2 overall record and a 1-1 home record and a 0-1 road record. They are coming off a 75-80 home loss against UC Riverside, following a 79-91 road loss against UC Irvine and a 95-74 home win against UTSA, and will face Fresno State and Loyola Chicago next.

Offensively, they are averaging 83 points per game, while allowing 81.7 points per game defensively. The Spartans are shooting 54% from the field and are making 9.7 three-pointers per game with a 40.3% from beyond the arc, while allowing their opponents to shoot with 49.7% from the field and 37.7% from the 3-point range. They are making 14.7 free throws per game and shooting with a 75.9% from the free-throw line. They are grabbing 32 rebounds per game and allow 29.7 rebounds per game off their opponents, while averaging 18.3 assists per game and allowing their opponents to dish 16 assists per game. They average 1 blocks per game and 8.7 steals per game, while committing 18.7 turnovers per game and forcing their opponents into 14.7 turnovers per game. They commit 20 fouls per game and have an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.

Joey Chammaa leads San José State in scoring, averaging 19.3 ppg on 48.5% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 4.3 assists per game. Mekhi Mason follows with 19 ppg on 51.5% shooting from the field, adding 3 rebounds per game. KJ Martin Jr. follows with 9 ppg on 55% shooting from the field, adding 3.3 rebounds per game. Robert Vaihola leads the team in rebounds with 8 per game. JaVaughn Hannah shares the team lead in assists with 4.3 per game.

Alabama State Hornets Preview

The Alabama State Hornets have a 1-2 overall record and a 1-1 home record and a 0-1 road record. They are coming off a 66-60 home win against Oklahoma Panhandle, following a 77-79 home loss against Georgia Gwinnett and a 66-97 road loss against Texas A&M, and will face UC Davis and Fresno State next.

Offensively, they are averaging 69.7 points per game, while allowing 78.7 points per game defensively. The Hornets are shooting 34.9% from the field and are making 8.7 three-pointers per game with a 33.3% from beyond the arc, while allowing their opponents to shoot with 48.4% from the field and 45.5% from the 3-point range. They are making 16.3 free throws per game and shooting with a 70% from the free-throw line. They are grabbing 40.7 rebounds per game and allow 38.3 rebounds per game off their opponents, while averaging 10.3 assists per game and allowing their opponents to dish 12 assists per game. They average 2.3 blocks per game and 7.7 steals per game, while committing 16.7 turnovers per game and forcing their opponents into 15.7 turnovers per game. They commit 24 fouls per game and have an assist-to-turnover ratio of 0.6.

Paul McMillan IV leads Alabama State in scoring, averaging 15.7 ppg on 35.9% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 3.3 assists per game. Terrance Hampton follows with 11.7 ppg on 47.6% shooting from the field, adding 6.3 rebounds per game. Mike James and Tre Powell follow with 10.7 ppg each, with James adding 2.3 rebounds per game and shooting with 28.9% from the field and Powell adding 1.7 rebounds per game and shooting with 52.6% from the field. Damarion Bonds follows with 6.7 ppg on 25% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 10 rebounds per game.

Alabama State Hornets @ San Jose State Spartans Betting Trends: November 15, 2026

Why the San Jose State Spartans will win

• Alabama State has lost each of its last 11 Sunday road games.
• The home team has won the first half in each of Alabama State’s last three games.

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

• San Jose State has lost 21 of its last 26 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Six of San Jose State’s last seven home games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.
• Nine of Alabama State’s last 11 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• San Jose State ranks T361st among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (1.0).
• San Jose State ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (62.9%).
• Alabama State ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (0.62).
• Alabama State ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (34.9%).

Nick Lagouretos's Pick: San José State -12.5