Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction 08/01/2025 Picks

The New York Liberty and the Connecticut Sun meet Friday in WNBA action from the Mohegan Sun Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun prediction.

Matchup History

The New York Liberty won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 100-52 back on June 1^st, 2025, making it 7 wins in the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these two teams for New York.

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to rebound from a 100-93 loss at the hands of the Minnesota Lynx last time out to sit at 17-9 on the year. After this game, the Liberty will come right back here and have a rematch before a home-and-home with the Dallas Wings.

Liberty Lose Three In A Row

Sabrina Ionescu leads the Liberty in scoring with 19.7 PPG with 5.7 APG and 4.6 RPG while Breanna Stewart has 18.3 PPG with 6.5 RPG and 3.9 APG. Jonquel Jones has 13.6 PPG with a team-high 9.1 RPG to lead the Liberty in rebounding and Natasha Cloud has 10.2 PPG with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 6 APG to lead the Liberty in assists and to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty so far this season. Kennedy Burke has also chipped in 8.4 PPG and 2.3 RPG while Leonie Fiebich has 9.1 PPG with 4 RPG as well this season. As a team, New York is averaging 87.9 PPG on 45.5% shooting from the field, 35.4% from three and 83.2% from the foul line this season.

Connecticut Sun Recap

The Connecticut Sun come into this game looking to rebound from a 101-85 loss at the hands of the Seattle Storm last time out to sit at 4-21 this season. After this game, the Sun will have the rematch against the Liberty before beginning a road trip against the Phoenix Mercury.

Sun Looking To Rebound… Again

Tina Charles leads the Sun in scoring with 16.1 PPG along with 5.8 RPG while Marina Mabrey has 14.3 PPG with 4.3 RPG and 3.9 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Sun up to this point in the year. Olivia Nelson-Ododa has 8.6 PPG with 5.7 RPG while Saniya Rivers has 7.8 PPG with 3.1 RPG and 2.8 APG and Bria Hartley has 9.7 PPG with 3 APG. Jacy Sheldon has also chipped in 8 PPG and 2 APG as well this season. As a team, Connecticut is averaging 74.6 PPG on 40% shooting from the field, 30.7% from three and 81.5% from the foul line this season.

New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Sun and the points here. The Sun have a tendency of letting me down when I put the utmost faith in them, but the thing is the Liberty right now just look lost without Breanna Stewart and while I can’t penalize them for a loss to the Lynx, I can think that they’re overvalued here and are laying a big number simply because the Sun are on the other side. The Sun have covered in 10 of 16 games this season as double-digit underdogs and I think it’s worth taking a stab on them here. Give me the Sun.