Jun 26, 2025; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Aces center A'ja Wilson (22) controls the ball against Washington Mystics forward Aaliyah Edwards (24) during the first half of a WNBA basketball game at Michelob Ultra Arena. Mandatory Credit: Lucas Peltier-Imagn Images

Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 07/06/2025 Picks

Pick details

Las Vegas (8-9) vs Connecticut (2-15)

July 6, 2025 at 04:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Connecticut +16.5 — Over/Under: 162

(Get latest betting odds)

The Las Vegas Aces and the Connecticut Sun meet Sunday in WNBA action from the Mohegan Sun Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun prediction.

Matchup History

The Las Vegas Aces have won both meetings so far in the regular season, with an 87-62 win back on May 20th, 2025 followed up by an 85-59 win over the Sun back on June 25th, 2025. That makes it six straight wins for the Aces in this head-to-head matchup.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to rebound from an 81-54 loss at the hands of the Indiana Fever last time out to sit at 8-9 on the year. After this game, the Aces will continue their road trip to a high-profile matchup against the New York Liberty.

Aces Alternate Wins And Losses In 4 Straight

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces across the board with 22.1 PPG along with 9.4 RPG to go along with 3.6 APG, 2.5 BPG and 1.9 SPG. Jackie Young has 17.3 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 3.7 APG as well this season. Chelsea Gray has chipped in 13.2 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.2 APG and Jewell Loyd’s added 10.8 PPG with 4.3 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Las Vegas so far this season. As a team, Las Vegas is averaging 79.3 PPG on 40.1% shooting from the field, 34.1% from three and 84.9% from the foul line this season.

Connecticut Sun Recap

The Connecticut Sun come into this game looking to rebound from a 102-63 loss at the hands of the Minnesota Lynx last time out to sit at 2-15 on the year. After this game, the Sun will take on the Seattle Storm in the first leg of a home-and-home.

Sun Lose 9 In A Row

Marina Mabrey leads the Sun in scoring and assists with 15.2 PPG and 4.1 APG along with 5 RPG while Tina Charles has 14.9 PPG with 4.8 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Sun up to this point in the year. Olivia Nelson-Ododa has 8.9 PPG with 6.1 RPG while Saniya Rivers has 6.9 PPG with 2.6 RPG and 3 APG and Bria Hartley has 7.6 PPG with 2.9 APG. Jacy Sheldon has also chipped in 7.9 PPG and 1.9 APG as well this season. As a team, Connecticut is averaging 71.1 PPG on 38.7% shooting from the field, 29.1% from three and 78.9% from the foul line this season.

Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun Prediction

I’m on the Sun and the points here. I know it seems crazy considering the head-to-head blowouts the Aces have laid in this matchup so far and Becky Hammon laid into the Aces for their lack of effort against Indiana, but I’m just still not into laying this kind of number with the Aces with a look-ahead spot clear as day with a game against the Liberty on deck. The Sun have been getting their butts kicked but I think pride has to become a factor at some point and as such, I’ll side with the Sun and the points at home.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Connecticut Sun +16.5

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