Jul 27, 2025; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Phoenix Mercury forward Satou Sabally (0) warms up before the game against the Washington Mystics at CareFirst Arena. Mandatory Credit: Emily Faith Morgan-Imagn Images

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 08/01/2025 Picks

Pick details

Phoenix (16-10) vs Atlanta (16-11)

August 1, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta +3.5 — Over/Under: +165.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Mercury and the Atlanta Dream meet Friday in WNBA action from the Gateway Center Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream prediction.

Matchup History

The Atlanta Dream won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 90-79 back on July 23rd, 2025, snapping Phoenix’s two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to bounce back from a 107-101 loss at the hands of the Indiana Fever last time out to sit at 16-10 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for a game against the Chicago Sky.

Mercury Drop 4 Of Their Last 5 Games

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 17.6 PPG along with 6.9 RPG, 2.5 APG and 1.4 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 16. PPG with 8.3 RPG and 9.2 APG and Kahleah Copper has 15.2 PPG. Sami Whitcomb also has 10.4 PPG with 3 RPG and 2.9 APG while DeWanna Bonner has 10.4 PPG in 7 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 7.4 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.5 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 7.1 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.8 PPG on 43.5% shooting from the field, 33.8% from three-point range and 77.7% from the foul line so far this season.

Atlanta Dream Recap

The Atlanta Dream come into this game looking to build on their 88-85 win over the Dallas Wings last time out to sit at 16-11 on the year. After this game, the Dream will head on the road for a game against the Washington Mystics.

Dream Win 4 Of Their Last 6

Allisha Gray leads the Dream in scoring with 18.3 PPG and 3.9 APG while also chipping in 5.6 RPG and Rhyne Howard has 16.5 PPG with 5 RPG and 4.5 APG as well this season. Brionna Jones has 12.5 PPG with a team-high 7.3 RPG to lead the Dream on the glass and Jordin Canada has 11.6 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 5.4 APG. Brittney Griner’s also chipped in 10.6 PPG and 5.6 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Atlanta up to this point in the season. As a team, the Dream are averaging 83.6 PPG on 43.5% shooting from the field, 33.3% from three and 76.3% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream Prediction

I’m on the Dream here. I get the case to be made for the Mercury as this is the healthiest that the Mercury have been in some time with Satou Sabally, Alyssa Thomas and Kahleah Copper all back on the floor together. However, that lineup hasn’t really resulted in wins for the Mercury since getting the band back together, and the Dream are still a solid squad that’s coming off of another solid showing against the Wings. I’m on the Dream in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Atlanta +3.5

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