Vienna Prediction: Zverev vs Musetti 10/25/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Second seed Alexander Zverev will face fourth seed Lorenzo Musetti in the semifinal of the 2025 Vienna Open on Saturday, October 25. Here’s our Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction. This preview will also include an Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti pick.

Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti Preview

Alexander Zverev is the No. 2 seed and is competing in his fifth main draw at the Vienna Open. Zverev has reached at least the quarterfinal every time he competed in the main draw in Austria’s capital and has done so again. He won this tournament in 2021 but lost to Musetti in the quarters last year. This is his first semifinal since he won the event.

Zverev began the week with a hard-fought 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 victory against Jacob Fearnley, but the German was composed in a 6-4, 6-4 win over Matteo Arnaldi in the second round. Zverev was scheduled to face Tallon Griekspoor, but he would have been relieved to see the Dutchwoman pull out of the tournament before their match, considering the difficulties he had caused him in some of their most recent matches. As such, Zverev got a walkover into the semis.

Lorenzo Musetti had to earn his spot on the court and the Italian beat Daniil Medvedev’s conqueror, Corentin Moutet, in straight sets. The match took 19 games to decide. Musetti prevailed 6-3, 6-4 in an hour and 42 minutes.

Musetti hit 4 aces and 1 double fault in the victory. He landed 62% of first serves in play and won 70% of first serve points (28/40). Musetti won 64% of second serve points (16/25) and saved one break point in the match. This is Musetti’s second successive semifinal in Vienna, having reached this stage last year after beating Zverev. Musetti had taken Hamad Medjedovic and Tomas Martin Etcheverry earlier in the tournament and has not lost a set this week.

Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti Head-To-Head

Musetti leads Zverev 3-1 in the head-to-head, winning each of their last three matches, including in the quarterfinals of the Vienna Open last year.

Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Musetti beat Zverev in this tournament last season and has historically troubled Zverev with his flashy shotmaking and crafty shots. The German got a walkover in the quarterfinals, but he had it rough before that, needing a third-set tiebreak to beat an inspired Fearnley and then digging out a tight straight-sets win against Arnaldi. Still, these conditions will always favor Zverev as he’s more adept at maintaining a high first serve percentage and winning cheap points. I’m leaning toward Zverev to grind through.