Vienna Prediction: Zverev vs Arnaldi 10/23/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Former champion Alexander Zverev will face World No. 72 Matteo Arnaldi in the second round of the 2025 Vienna Open. The match is scheduled for Thursday, October 23. Here’s our Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction. This preview will also include an Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Arnaldi pick.

Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Arnaldi Preview

Alexander Zverev is the second seed at the Vienna Open and won this tournament in 2021. He has reached the quarterfinals in each of his last two visits. Zverev opened his account this week with an entertaining three-set win over Britain’s Jacob Fearnley. The match took 30 games to decide and stretched over two hours.

Zverev took charge of the first set with a break in the opening game and while he did have some more break point opportunities, he maintained that lead and served to love to take the first set 6-4. But the German’s level dipped significantly in the second set, where he dropped his serve on two occasions, allowing Fearnely to run away with the set 6-1.

Zverev and Fearnley each held in the 12 games of the third set, with the Brit saving a match point while serving to stay in the match at 4-5. But in the tiebreak, Zverev got a couple of early mini breaks and the second seed eventually won it 7-5.

Matteo Arnaldi is making his second appearance at the Vienna Open. He lost in the round of 16 on debut back in 2023. However, he had to qualify for the main draw this year. The Italian kicked off the tournament in the main draw this week with a straight-sets win over Aleksandar Kovacevic.

The match took 22 games to decide. Arnaldi prevailed 7-5, 6-4 in an hour and 50 minutes. Arnaldi hit 12 aces and 4 double faults in the victory. He landed 62% of first serves in play and won 80% of first serve points (35/44). Arnaldi won 52% of second serve points (14/27) and saved all four break points in the match.

Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-To-Head

Zverev and Arnaldi have faced off twice on the ATP level. Zverev won both meetings on hard courts and in three sets.

Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction

Zverev is a strong favorite, but the Arnaldi set handicap is such an enticing pick in this match. Arnaldi has troubled the German in their two meetings this year and took a set in both. Indoor conditions could actually make his task less difficult. And the Italian has been winning a high number of first serve points in this tournament right from qualifying. If Arnaldi keeps this up, I don’t see a reason why he can’t at least bag a set, considering Zverev has been a hit and miss for most of this season.