Vienna Prediction: Musetti vs Moutet 10/24/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Fourth seed Lorenzo Musetti will face French lefty Corentin Moutet in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Vienna Open on Friday, October 24. Here’s our Lorenzo Musetti vs Corentin Moutet prediction. This preview will also include a Lorenzo Musetti vs Corentin Moutet pick.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Corentin Moutet Preview

Lorenzo Musetti is coming off a straight sets win over Argentina’s Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the last round. Musetti won the first set 6-3, with just a solitary break of serve and saved a break point while serving for the set at 5-3 up. At the start of the second set, Musetti broke early one and held onto that lead for the remainder of the set, eventually wrapping up a 6-3, 6-4 victory in an hour and 24 minutes.

Musetti hit 7 aces and 1 double fault in the match. He landed 67% of first serves in play and won 81% of first serve points (34/42). Musetti won 52% of second serve points (11/21) and saved all four break points he faced in the match. It’s the second time he’s reached the Vienna Open quarterfinals. Last year, Musetti went all the way to the last four.

Corentin Moutet knocked out Daniil Medvedev in the last round in their second meeting in as many weeks. The Frenchman was a +200 underdog to defeat the sixth-seeded Medvedev, who ended his title drought in Almaty just a week ago. The first set was tightly contested, lasting an hour and 15 minutes. Moutet won it in a tiebreak after rallying from 1-3 down. 

Neither player looked comfortable on serve in the second set, which featured five breaks. But Moutet had more composure, and after failing to serve for the match at 5-3, he broke Medvedev to love in the 10th game. It’s his first Vienna Open quarterfinal.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Corentin Moutet Head-To-Head

Musetti and Moutet have met once on the ATP Tour. That meeting took place on the Buenos Aires clay earlier this season. Musetti won it in straight sets.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Moutet can certainly challenge Musetti here. He’s coming off a big win over Medvedev, who had beaten him in the Almaty final just before this week. The Frenchman brings his trademark blend of creative shots and unpredictable tempo, which leaves his opponents flummoxed. But I’m happy to back the more reliable pick here. Musetti just brings the smoother gears and the Italian has been consistnet this season that he should walk off with another win and make the Vienna semis for the second year in a row.

Nur Said's Pick: Musetti in three sets