Jul 27, 2025; Montreal, QC, Canada; Victoria Mboko (CAN) returns the ball to Kimberly Birrell (AUS) (Not Pictured) in first round play at IGA Stadium. Mandatory Credit: David Kirouac-Imagn Images

Victoria Mboko vs Sofia Kenin Prediction 07/29/2025 Montreal Picks

Pick details

Montreal Prediction: Victoria Mboko vs Sofia Kenin

July 29, 2025 at 01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Victoria Mboko -166 / Sofia Kenin +130

(Get latest betting odds)

Canadian wild card Victoria Mboko will face 23rd seed Sofia Kenin in the second round of the 2025 Canadian Open in Montreal. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, July 29. Here’s our Victoria Mboko vs Sofia Kenin prediction. This preview will also include a Victoria Mboko vs Sofia Kenin pick.

Victoria Mboko vs Sofia Kenin Preview

Victoria Mboko is making her main draw debut in Montreal. The 18-year-old was offered a wild card to compete at the Canadian Open and kicked off the tournament with a bang. Mboko defeated Australia’s Kimberly Birrell 7-5, 6-3 in 95 minutes. 

Mboko hit 15 aces to four double faults in the match. She landed 63% of first serves in play and won 71% of first serve points (30/42). Mboko won 64% of second serve points (16/25) and saved four of five break points in the match. She broke Birrell three times to round off a 47th win of an impressive breakout season. Mboko has now compiled 13 wins from 15 matches on outdoor hard courts. She has won five ITF titles and is currently sitting at a career-high ranking of No. 85.

Sofia Kenin enters the 2025 Canadian Open as the 23rd seed. The former US Open champion is ranked 27th in the WTA rankings, and competition for a seeding spot at the US Open later this month will hot up. Kenin can ill afford another early exit. She was comprehensively beaten by Taylor Townsend in Washington, tallying only three games in a straight-sets blowout. 

Overall, Kenin has a 25-17 record this year, winning half of those matches on hard courts. Her best result of the season was reaching the final in Charleston on green clay, and she lost to Jessica Pegula. This will be her fourth main draw appearance in Canada. She was a semifinalist in 2019, but lost in the first round last year when the tournament was held in Toronto.

Victoria Mboko vs Sofia Kenin Head-To-Head

Mboko and Kenin have never played at any level. This second-round match in Montreal will be their first career meeting.

Victoria Mboko vs Sofia Kenin Prediction

No surprises to see Victoria Mboko start as the favorite against the former Australian Open champion. Mboko has that raw energy and big groundstrokes that often define so many up-and-coming players with genuine potential. She is having a tremendous season, and I can see the 18-year-old feasting on Kenin’s subpar second serve. Smart money is with the Canadian youngster to complete another straight sets victory.

Nur Said's Pick: Victoria Mboko in straight sets

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