USA vs Italy BJK Cup Prediction 9/21/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

18-time champions USA will face defending champions Italy in the final of the 2025 Billie Jean King Cup. The match is scheduled for Sunday, September 21. Here’s our USA vs Italy Billie Jean King Cup prediction. This preview will also include a USA vs Italy Billie Jean King Cup pick.

USA vs Italy Billie Jean King Cup Preview

The USA defeated Great Britain to reach their first Billie Jean King Cup final since 2018. The tournament’s most successful nation won the tie 2-0, settling it in singles action with both Emma Navarro and Jessica Pegula winning in three sets. Navarro was tasked first to take on Sonay Kartal and played exceptionally well under pressure to come away with a 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 victory in two hours and 14 minutes.

Then it was Pegula’s turn. The 31-year-old picked up her first victory in singles this week, in another comeback win for the Americans. Pegula beat Katie Boulter 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 in almost two hours. Pegula hit one ace and two double faults in the match. She landed 68% of first serves in play and won 65% of first serve points (40/62). Pegula won 52% of second serve points (15/29) and saved nine of 13 break points.

Italy had confirmed their spot in the final with a victory over Ukraine a day earlier. Once again, they relied on their top-ranked player, Jasmine Paolini, to come up with the goods, and she duly delivered. Italy lost its first singles rubber after Elisabetta Cocciaretto was outplayed by Marta Kostyuk in a straight-sets defeat.

Paolini leveled the tie when she rallied from a set and a break to down Elina Svitolina in the second singles match. From 3-6, 2-4 down, Paolini 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 in two hours and 27 minutes, getting a measure of revenge after losing to Svitolina at Roland Garros, where she missed match points. Paolini then teamed up with Sara Errani and won the decisive doubles match over Kostyuk and Kichenok.

USA vs Italy Billie Jean King Cup Head-To-Head

In 15 meetings, the USA lead Italy 10-5, with their last meeting dating back to 2015.

USA vs Italy Billie Jean King Cup Prediction

The much-fancied favorites, the USA, have lived up to the billing, and I reckon they will see it through this final tie and capture their first Billie Jean King Cup title in eight years. I thought the only team capable of overcoming their strength in depth was Kazakhstan, but they escaped that quarterfinal tie by the skin of their teeth (Emma Navarro memorably saving crucial match points). Italy have the standout team in this competition for over a year, but that reign will most likely come to an end Sunday.