May 30, 2025; Paris, FR; Sebastian Korda of the United States returns a shot during his match against Frances Tiafoe of the United States on day six at Roland Garros Stadium.  Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Stockholm Prediction: Ruud vs Korda 10/17/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

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Stockholm Open Prediction: Casper Ruud vs Sebastian Korda

October 17, 2025 at 01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Casper Ruud -143 / Sebastian Korda +120

(Get latest betting odds)

Second seed Casper Ruud will face World No. 60 Sebastian Korda in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Stockholm Open on Friday, October 17. Here’s our Casper Ruud vs Sebastian Korda prediction. This preview will also include a Casper Ruud vs Sebastian Korda pick.

Casper Ruud vs Sebastian Korda Preview

Casper Ruud reached the Stockholm Open quarterfinals for a second time. The Norwegian defeated former US Open champion Marin Cilic in straight sets to begin his campaign this week with a victory. The match took 23 games to decide and lasted an hour and 50 minutes.

Cilic led for most of the first set, and was a break up at 4-2, but could not consolidate that advantage in the seventh game as Ruud broke back. The first set was settled in a tiebreak where Ruud dominated from start to finish and won it 7-2. The second set stayed on serve until the 10th and final game, when Ruud broke Cilic’s serve to wrap up a 7-6, 6-4 victory.

Ruud tallied 7 aces and 1 double fault in the victory. He landed 69% of first serves in play and won 91% of first serve points (32/35). Ruud won 69% of second serve points (11/16) and was only broken once in the match. Ruud has not gone past the quarters in Stockholm in the past.

Sebastian Korda is making his debut in Stockholm this week and the American World No. 60 secured his quarterfinal spot with a three-set win over Poland’s Kamil Majchrzak. Korda and Majchrzak exchanged the first two sets with an identical score of 6-4.  The third set was extremely tight as neither player dropped serve until the 11th game when Korda struck and converted one of two break points. Korda then held to 15 in the next to complete the hard-fought victory in two and a half hours.

Korda hit 10 aces and 5 double faults in the match. He landed 55% of first serves in play and won 82% of first serve points (46/56). Korda won 49% of second serve points (22/45) and saved nine of 10 break points. Korda is seeking his third semifinal of the season.

Casper Ruud vs Sebastian Korda Head-To-Head

Ruud and Korda have played once on the ATP Tour. That meeting took place at the 2025 Madrid Open where Ruud beat Korda in straight sets en route to winning his first Masters title.

Casper Ruud vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Ruud bounced back from his recent retirement in Shanghai and won a tough opening match against Cilic in Stockholm. But he has a trickier assignment in the quarters as he faces Korda. When healthy, the American is easily a top 20 caliber player with a forehand and power that many players would envy. And there’s a quiet confidence to his game this week with two massive wins. If Korda serves well and takes big swings at the ball and denying Ruud time and space, I think the upset is very much on.

Nur Said's Pick: Korda in three sets

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