Shanghai Prediction: Rune vs Vacherot 10/9/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

10th seed Holger Rune will face Monegasque qualifier Valentin Vacherot in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Shanghai Masters. The match is scheduled for Thursday, October 9. Here’s our Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot prediction. This preview will also include a Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot pick.

Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Preview

Holger Rune reached his third Masters quarterfinal of the season with a three-set win over big-serving Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. The match took 32 games to decide. Rune prevailed 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 in two hours and 30 minutes. It’s the first time he’s advanced to the Shanghai last eight.

In the victory, Rune hit 9 aces and landed 63% of first serves in play. Rune won 81% of first serve points against the Frenchman (48/59) and 71% of second serve points (24/34). Rune saved all three break points he faced in the match. Before that, Rune had defeated each of Sebastian Baez and Ugo Humbert in straight sets.

Valentin Vacherot was unpopular with many tennis fans before the Shanghai Masters and the 26-year-old qualifier has certainly produced the story of the tournament so far with his run to the quarterfinals. He’s the first player from Monaco to reach an ATP Masters quarterfinal, with this run guaranteeing him a healthy paycheck and a potential top 100 breakthrough.

Vacherot is coming off a series of sensational wins, none more impressive than the one he delivered in the fourth round against Tallon Griekspoor, where he came from a set down to win 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 in two hours and 25 minutes.

Vacherot saved six crucial break points to hold for 6-5 in the second set. Had he lost that game, then Griekspoor would have served for the match. Overall, he hit 13 aces and 1 double fault in the victory. Vacherot won 75% of first serve points (53/71).

Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Head-To-Head

Rune and Vacherot have never played before this.

Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction

This is a fairytale run from Vacherot and a reminder that tennis has a peculiar way of paying off sometimes. Vacherot was nailed on to break into the top 100 last summer, but an unfortunate injury derailed his momentum, and he only played three matches in the second half of 2024. Now, he’s one win from the top 100, having begun this tournament ranked 204th in the world rankings. It’s still a long shot he’ll beat Rune, but what has transpired this fortnight suggests it’s not far-fetched.

Nur Said's Pick: Valentin Vacherot set handicap +1.5