Shanghai Prediction: Rune vs Mpetshi Perricard 10/7/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Number 10 seed Holger Rune will face 32nd seed Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the round of 16 of the 2025 Shanghai Masters on Tuesday, October 7. Here’s our Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard prediction. This preview will also include a Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard pick.

Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Preview

Holger Rune is coming off another straight-sets win at the Shanghai Masters. The Dane beat French lefty Ugo Humbert in a match that took 20 games to decide. Rune spent an hour and 35 minutes to complete the victory.

Rune secured two early breaks to lead 4-1. He let slip of his service game, but Humbert could not reduce the whole deficit and Rune comfortably clinched the first set 6-4. There was only one break between the two in the second set, and it was Rune who broke the Frenchman for a 2-1 lead. Rune had a couple of solid love games as he eased to victory 6-4, 6-4.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard scored the biggest win of his career by ranking after he upset World No. 4 Taylor Fritz. He avenged his loss to the American at Wimbledon, where he was two sets up. Unlike at Wimbledon, Mpetshi Perricard completed the job this time as he only needed the two-set lead to win the match.

Mpetshi Perricard kept asking the questions on return, forcing three break points at 2-all, which Fritz saved. But the Frenchman was not to be denied in the seventh game when he broke, and he would not lose his serve in the next two games. In the second set, Mpetshi Perricard broke Fritz in the 11th game and held to 15 to complete a 6-4, 7-5 victory in an hour and 26 minutes. It’s the first time he will contest a fourth-round match at a Masters tournament.

Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Head-To-Head

Rune and Mpetshi Perricard have played twice on the ATP Tour. Mpetshi Perricard beat the Dane 7-6, 6-4 at the 2024 Swiss Indoors. Rune won their second meeting at the 2025 Indian Wells Masters 7-6, 6-3.

Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

Mpetshi doesn’t break serve too many times, but he keeps doing his job on his own service games, racking up double-digit aces at the very least and landing 70% of his first serves in play. Such high serve numbers make it a near impossible task to get any purchase as a returner. I think he’s got a tiny edge here if he can replicate that serving performance from his massive win over Fritz.