Shanghai Prediction: Rune vs Humbert 10/5/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Number 10 seed Holger Rune will face 21st seed Ugo Humbert in the third round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters. The match is scheduled for Sunday, October 5. Here’s our Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert prediction. This preview will also include a Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert pick.

Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert Preview

Holger Rune is the 10th seed and is competing in Shanghai for the third time. His best result was reaching the round of 16 last season. This week, Rune started the tournament with a straight-sets win over Argentina’s Sebastian Baez.

Both players took a while to settle, with the first set featuring four breaks in the first five games. But the set stayed on serve after that until the 12th game when Rune pounced and converted his first set point on Baez’s serve to win the set.

Rune broke early in the second set and held onto that lead until the ninth game. He served for the match, but was broken back. The Dane needed to break Baez’s serve to win the match, and he did in the subsequent game.

Ugo Humbert registered his first win in four matches. The Frenchman defeated Australia’s Jordan Thompson in straight sets for his first win since early August in Cincinnati. Humbert won the first set, where he broke Thompson’s serve once and converted his third set point to win the set 6-3.

Thompson had two set points of his own in the second set, but Humbert saved them both to force a tie-break, which he won 7-4. Humbert hit 37 winners and 13 unforced errors in the victory, which included 9 aces and 2 double faults. Humbert landed 72% of first serves in play and won 78% of first serve points (40/51). He won 55% of first serve points (11/20) and saved three of four break points.

Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert Head-To-Head

Rune and Humbert have played four times and tour level. The Dane leads the head-to-head 4-0 and won their only meeting in 2025 at the Indian Wells Masters in three sets.

Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Humbert was in desperate need of a win from somewhere and he got one in Shanghai. He exited the world’s top 20 recently after a run of three straight defeats with plenty of points lost. Still, I think he’s the underdog here. Rune looked much more convincing in his opening win and he owns this matchup with 4 wins from 4.