Shanghai Prediction: Medvedev vs Rinderknech 10/11/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Former champion Daniil Medvedev will face France’s Arthur Rinderknech in the semifinal of the 2025 Shanghai Masters on Saturday, October 11. Here’s our Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech prediction. This preview will also include a Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech pick.

Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Preview

Daniil Medvedev eased into his second semifinal at the Shanghai Masters. The Russian powered past 7th seed Alex de Minaur for his 50th career top 10 win on Friday. Medvedev recorded a 6-4, 6-4 victory in under two hours to reach a second successive semifinal this swing.

In the victory, Medvedev hit 5 aces and 6 double faults. Medvedev landed 61% of first serves in play and won 79% of first serve points (33/42). He won 52% of second serve points (14/27) and saved all six break points he faced in the match. Medvedev fired 25 winners to just 13 unforced errors.

Arthur Rinderknech earned a third successive top 20 win at the Shanghai Masters to reach his first semifinal at this level. Rinderknech started the tournament with a retirement win against Hamad Medjedovic. Then he beat Alex Michelsen in straight sets. In the third round, he upset World No. 3 Alexander Zverev in three sets.

Rinderknech has since scored back-to-back straight sets victories over Jiri Lehecka and Felix Auger-Aliassime. Against the Canadian in the quarterfinal, Rinderknech spent an hour and 29 minutes, hitting 19 winners and winning 85% of first serve points (29/34). His only semifinal run this season was in the ATP 250 in Kitzbuhel.

Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Head-To-Head

Medvedev beat Rinderknech in straight sets in their only meeting at the 2022 US Open.

Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Prediction

No surprises on who starts as the favorite here. Medvedev is a former champion in Shanghai and has a great level in this tournament category, but remarkably, he hasn’t reached a final of a Masters since 2024 Indian Wells and his last title success was the Rome Masters two seasons ago. Still, it would take an extraordinary performance from Rinderknech to deny Medvedev a spot in the final.