Shanghai Prediction: Fritz vs Mpetshi Perricard 10/5/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Fifth seed Taylor Fritz will face 32nd seed Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the third round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters. The match is scheduled for Sunday, October 5. Here’s our Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard prediction. This preview will also include a Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard pick.

Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Preview

Taylor Fritz is the 5th seed in Shanghai, making his sixth appearance at the event. He was a semifinalist last year, achieving his best result in this Masters tournament. Fritz won his opening match this week in a marathon match against Fabian Marozsan.

The American favorite was outplayed for most of the first set, which he lost 6-2 in 34 minutes, losing his serve twice in the final few games. But he recovered from a mini-break deficit to win the second set in a tie-break. The third set also featured a tie-break after Fritz missed two match points on Marozsan’s serve at 6-5 up. But Fritz dominated the breaker to win it 7-1.

The match lasted two hours and 23 minutes. Fritz hit 35 winners to 9 unforced errors. That included 15 aces and 1 double fault. Fritz landed 65% of first serves in play and won 85% of first serve points (51/60). Fritz won 58% of second serve points (19/33) and saved three of five break points. 

Mpetshi Perricard entered this tournament as the 32nd seed. This is his second appearance. He lost in the first round last year. But he got a direct passage into the second round after getting a bye. And in that round, he defeated Italy’s Luca Nardi in straight sets.

Mpetshi Perricard saved two break points in the opening game of the match and that proved vital as he would break Nardi midway through to lead 4-2. While serving for the match, the tall Frenchman saved one more break point to hold and take the set 6-3.

Mpetshi Perricard was broken for the first time when he served for the match in the second set at 5-4, 4, missing two match points in the process. But he bounced back to win the second set tie-break and advance to the third round of the Shanghai Masters.

Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Head-To-Head

Fritz and Mpetshi Perricard have met once on tour. That match happened at Wimbledon this season. Fritz recovered from two sets down to beat the Frenchman in five.

Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

There’s great value in the set handicap here. Mpetshi Perricard was so close from defeating Fritz at Wimbledon this year and the Frenchman’s humonogous serve will always give me a puncher’s chance in any match he is slated as the underdog. Fritz could be in for another slugfest.