Shanghai Prediction: Auger-Aliassime vs Musetti 10/8/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

12th seed Felix Auger-Aliassime will face 8th seed Lorenzo Musetti in the fourth round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters. The match is scheduled for Wednesday, October 8. Here’s our Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction. This preview will also include a Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti pick.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Preview

Felix Auger-Aliassime is making his fourth appearance in Shanghai. The Canadian has lost in the second round in each of his last three visits. This year, Auger-Aliassime has reached the third round for the first time. He got a bye in the first round as a seeded player and beat Chengdu champion Alejandro Tabilo in straight sets in his opening match. Auger-Aliassime prevailed 6-3, 6-3 in an hour and 27 minutes, hitting 11 aces and 2 double faults. He won 74% of first serve points (35/47) and saved all seven break points he faced.

In the third round, Auger-Aliassime saw off Jesper De Jong in straight sets in under two hours. The match took 22 games to decide. Auger-Aliassime won 6-4, 7-5, accumulating 7 aces and 3 double faults. He landed 62% of first serves in play and won 77% of first serve points (30/39). Auger-Aliassime won 63% of second serve points (15/24) and saved three of four break points.

Lorenzo Musetti is making his third appearance in Shanghai. He’s lost in the second round stage in his previous two visits. This year, Musetti made it to the third round for the first time. In his opening match, Musetti demolished Francisco Comesana 6-4, 6-0, brushing off injury question marks after his retirement in Beijing. Musetti won 78% of first serve points (21/27) and did not face a break point all match.

In the third round, Musetti won the all-Italian clash against Luciano Darderi in two tight sets. Musetti recovered from a break down in the second set to win 7-5, 7-6 in two hours and 8 minutes. In the victory, Musetti hit 11 aces and 2 double faults. Musetti landed 72% of first serves in play and won 68% of first serve points (43/63). He won 54% of second serve points (13/24) and saved six of eight break points.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Head-To-Head

Auger-Aliassime and Musetti have met seven times at all levels. Musetti leads 4-3 and has won their last two matches, one on clay at the Paris Olympics and the other one at the Miami Open this season.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

I’m backing Auger-Aliassime here, but only marginally. This could easily be a 50-50 matchup with Musetti enjoying his best season on tour with more hard-court wins, but Auger-Aliassime still has the higher upside at least on this surface.