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Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov Prediction 3/28/25 Miami Tennis Picks

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ATP Miami Prediction: Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov

March 28, 2025 at 03:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Novak Djokovic -400 / Grigor Dimitrov +280

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Novak Djokovic and Grigor Dimitrov clash in the semifinal of the 2025 ATP Miami Open on Friday, March 28, 2025. Here’s our Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov prediction. This preview will also include a Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov pick.

 

Novak Djokovic Preview

Novak Djokovic became the oldest player to reach an ATP Masters 1000 semifinal, shattering another one of Roger Feder’s records. The Serbian defeated an inspired Sebastian Korda in straight sets to reach the Miami Open semifinals. The match took 22 games to decide. Djokovic prevailed 6-3, 7-6 in 84 minutes. In the victory, Djokovic hit 19 winners and 18 unforced errors. He accounted for 12 aces and zero double faults. Djokovic landed 85% of first serves and won 84% of first serve points (42/50). The fourth seed won 60% of second serve points (6/10) and faced only one breakpoint. Djokovic compiled 30% of return points (17/56) and broke Korda twice in the match. He improves to 11-4 for the season and is still chasing for that 100th career title this weekend.

 

Grigor Dimitrov Preview

Grigor Dimitrov won an epic quarterfinal match against Francisco Cerundolo to reach the Miami Open semifinals for the second year in a row. Last year’s finalist Dimitrov prevailed 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 in almost three hours. In the victory, Dimitrov hit 30 winners and 46 unforced errors. That tally included seven aces and three double faults. Dimitrov landed 61% of first serves in play and won 80% of first serve points (53/66). The Bulgarian won 50% of second serve points (21/42) and saved three of five breakpoints. Dimitrov compiled 36% of return points (41/115) and converted three of 13 breakpoints in the match. He improves to 9-5 for the season,

 

Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov Head-To-Head

• Djokovic and Dimitrov have met 13 times on the ATP level.

• Djokovic has an astronomical 12-1 lead. His only defeat to Dimitrov was over 10 years ago in Madrid.

 

Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov Prediction

This is turning out to be a dream draw for Djokovic. With two of the highest seeds eliminated, the Serbian’s chances of winning the tournament have grown considerably in the past week and he looks spry at 37. He is yet to drop a set and has stepped up in clutch moments (won three tie-breaks already). Moreover, he hasn’t lost to Dimitrov since 2013. This is such a favorable matchup for him that it’s hard to back Dimitrov in any of the markets.

Nur Said's Pick: Novak Djokovic in straight sets

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