Jul 6 2026; London, United Kingdom; Jasmine Paolini of Italy returns a shot during her match against Alexandra Eala of the Philippines on day eight at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club.  Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction 7/8/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Pick details

Wimbledon Prediction: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini

06:30 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Marta Kostyuk -250 / Jasmine Paolini +200

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Marta Kostyuk faces Jasmine Paolini in the Wimbledon quarterfinals on Wednesday, July 8th. Can Kostyuk reach back-to-back Grand Slam semifinals and her first on grass courts? Or will former finalist Paolini reach another major semifinal? Here’s our Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini prediction. This preview will include a Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini pick.

Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Preview

Marta Kostyuk ended Ashlyn Krueger’s brilliant run to reach the Wimbledon quarterfinals for the first time. Kostyuk defeated the American qualifier in straight sets to progress. Kostyuk broke Krueger twice in the opening set to lead 4-1. And although Krueger restored one of the breaks back, she could not prevent Kostyuk from serving for it for a 6-4 lead.

In the second set, the Ukrainian trailed 2-4, but won four games in a row to turn the set around and clinch a straight sets victory. Kostyuk hit 22 winners and 13 unforced errors in the match. She accounted for 2 aces and 1 double fault. Kostyuk landed 52% of first serves in play and won 67% of first serve points (20/30). She won 64% of second serve points (18/28) and was broken twice in the match.

Jasmine Paolini is back in the Wimbledon quarterfinals. The Italian earned a massive win over Alexandra Eala to boost her own ambitions this week. Paolini edged the Filipina 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 in two hours and 23 minutes to progress.

In the victory, Paolini hit 38 winners and 42 unforced errors. She fired 2 aces and 1 double fault in the match. Paolini landed 70% of first serves in play and won 62% of first serve points (44/71). Paolini won 65% of second serve points (20/31) and saved 7 out of 10 break points in the match.

This is her second Wimbledon quarterfinal. She won her first en route to the 2024 final. This is her first quarterfinal since February, when she made the last four of the Merida Open.

Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Head-To-Head

Kostyuk and Paolini have faced off three times. They first played at the 2022 Cincinnati Open qualifying. Kostyuk won in straight sets. Since then, Paolini has taken their two meetings. This Wimbledon quarterfinal will be their first grass-court matchup.

Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction

When Kostyuk is hitting the ball cleanly, she has the power and control to dictate against anyone. That said, Paolini gets written off and she continues to have a fine tournament. This is what the Italian is capable of doing when she is at her free-flowing best. Paolini simply looks at home on grass. Her movement is exceptional and if there question mark about her foot injury after pulling out from doubles, then she delivered the answers with that outstanding win against Eala. I’ll keep backing Paolini on this surface

Nur Said's Pick: Paolini in three sets

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