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Madison Keys vs Katie Boulter Prediction 5/29/25 French Open Tennis Picks

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French Open Prediction: Madison Keys vs Katie Boulter

May 29, 2025 at 07:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Madison Keys -625 / Katie Boulter +450

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Madison Keys vs Katie Boulter meet in the second round of the 2025 French Open at Roland Garros. The match is scheduled for Thursday, May 29. Here’s our Madison Keys vs Katie Boulter prediction. This preview will also include a Madison Keys vs Katie Boulter pick.

 

Madison Keys Preview

Madison Keys is the seventh seed at the 2025 French Open. She is the reigning Australian Open champion and the only player with a chance of winning a calendar Grand Slam. Not that Keys has even given a thought to this possibility when it was raised during her press conference, but she got off to a solid start in the first round.

Keys defeated Daria Saville of Australia in straight sets. The match took 15 games to decide and lasted just under an hour. Keys had the worst possible start to the match, losing her serve in the opening game. But she won six of the next seven games, including three breaks of serve to wrap up the set 6-2 in 29 minutes. Keys then dominated the second set, breaking Saville twice, to win it 6-1.

Keys finished the match with 22 winners and 12 unforced errors. That included one ace and three double faults. She landed 66% of first serves in play and won 83% of first serve points (24/29). Keys won 47% of second serve points (7/15) and saved two of three breakpoints on serve. 

 

Katie Boulter Preview

Katie Boulter is ranked 38th in the WTA rankings. She is unseeded and drew a qualifier in her opening match. Boulter beat Carole Monnet of France in three sets. The Briton served for the first set at 5-4, but was broken back and eventually lost the set in a tie-break.

But Boulter rescued the situation, winning the next two sets 6-1, 6-1 to complete the turnaround. Boulter finished the match with 34 winners and 43 unforced errors. That included one ace and four double faults. Boulter landed 52% of first serves in play and won 64% of first serve points (25/39). She won 72% of second serve points (26/36) and only faced two breakpoints.

 

Madison Keys vs Katie Boulter Head-To-Head

Keys and Boulter have never played at any level. This will be their first meeting.

 

Madison Keys vs Katie Boulter Prediction

I’m going with Keys here. The American’s offensive arsenal is just more sustainable on clay. She’s actually a very good player on the dirt with a French Open semifinal on her resume. Boulter struggles on this surface. She doesn’t have the heavy topspin or court coverage that are assets on clay, which are essential to disrupt power hitters. That said, expect Keys to motor into the next round unscathed.

 

Nur Said's Pick: Madison Keys in straight sets

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