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Jasmine Paolini vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction 06/24/2025 WTA Bad Homburg Tennis Picks
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WTA Bad Homburg Prediction: Jasmine Paolini vs Leylah Fernandez
June 24, 2025 at 07:00 AM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Jasmine Paolini -238 / Leylah Fernandez +166
Jasmine Paolini, who is the second seed, will face former US Open finalist Leylah Fernandez in the round of 16 of the WTA Bad Homburg Open in Germany. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, June 24. Here’s our Jasmine Paolini vs Leylah Fernandez prediction. This preview will also include a Jasmine Paolini vs Leylah Fernandez pick.
Jasmine Paolini vs Leylah Fernandez Preview
Jasmine Paolini is the No. 2 seed in Bad Homburg. This will be her debut appearance at the event. Paolini has competed in just one grass-court event before this, and that was in Berlin this past week, where she lost her opening match to Tunisian lucky loser Ons Jabeur. But she had a much more productive spell in doubles, where she made the final with Sara Errani but lost the title in a deciding set tie-break 10-8.
Paolini is having a standout season in 2025. She captured her second WTA 1000 of her career in her home country at the Italian Open, beating Coco Gauff in the final. It’s in doubles where she has won multiple titles with her partner Erani. The pair have lifted three titles, including the 2025 French Open women’s doubles.
Paolini knows the importance of this swing. She reached the Wimbledon singles final last season, but as it stands, she has not won a match on the surface yet. Will she get her first singles win on grass in Bad Homburg when she takes on Leylah Fernandez?
Leylah Fernandez is unseeded and is ranked 29th in the rankings. Fernandez has competed in Bad Homburg in the past, losing at this stage to Anna Blinkova. The Canadian is not considered a grass specialist with a 13-9 lifetime record on the surface, but reached a final for the first time on grass last summer in Eastbourne. She’s also been to two quarterfinals. She won her opening match in this tournament against Queen’s Club champion Tatjana Maria.
Jasmine Paolini vs Leylah Fernandez Head-To-Head
Paolini and Fernandez have met four times before. Fernandez leads the series 3-1. All four meetings took place on hard courts.
Jasmine Paolini vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction
I’m going with the upset here. Fernandez, like I said, is not particularly a grass specialist, but she can create angles with that sweet lefty and has all sorts of tools to produce some awkward shots for the opponent to deal with. Paolini will need more than a punchy forehand because Leylah moves so well on any court. Give me Fernandez to win in three.