Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction 5/18/25 Italian Open Final Tennis Picks

Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz meet in a blockbuster final at the 2025 ATP Italian Open in Rome. The match is scheduled for Sunday, May 18, 2025. Here’s our Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction. This preview will also include a Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz pick.

Jannik Sinner Preview

Jannik Sinner, for reasons now very much known public, did not play for three months until this past week, when he returned on tour, was given a warm reception by the home fans. His comeback tournament has exceeded expectations, and it is looking like a realistic possibility that he’ll pull out from next week’s Hamburg Open.

The top seed extended his unbeaten start to the season to 12 matches with his late-night win over Tommy Paul in the semifinal. Sinner lost a set in his run to the final, but has shown few signs of rust. Sinner has now reached his seventh successive final, dating back to the Cincinnati Masters last season. He is the in-form player on tour right now and he missed three months of the season.

Carlos Alcaraz Preview

Carlos Alcaraz remains the last man to defeat Jannik Sinner in an ATP match/final. That was in last year’s Beijing final – seven and a half months ago. In fact, Alcaraz beat Sinner in all three meetings last season to overturn the head-to-head in his favor (from 3-4 to 6-4).

The Spaniard has already bagged a clay-court title (Monte Carlo) ahead of his French Open title defense later this month. While he wasn’t necessarily troubled during the fortnight, Alcaraz escaped in a couple of close sets against Laslo Djere and Karen Khachanov, and extinguished any chance of an all-Italian final by knocking out Lorenzo Musetti in the semis in straight sets. Like Sinner, he has lost only one set in the tournament.

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-To-Head

Sinner and Alcaraz have met 10 times on the ATP level. Alcaraz leads 6-4 and has won their last three meetings. On clay, the head-to-head is tied at 1-1. This will be their first final between them at the Masters 1000 level.

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

The 2025 Rome Masters has delivered the dream final. World No. 1 Jannik Sinner will put his 26-match undefeated streak on the line when he faces his great rival Carlos Alcaraz for the title.

It’s more than an ATP 1000 title at stake here, and it should be extremely close. For Sinner, he can chalk his name in the history books as the first Italian man in nearly half a century to win in Rome. It’s a result that could define the clay-court season as the second Grand Slam of the season looms large.  Alcaraz will bring the flair, fight, and the enthusiasm, but a razor-thin edge has to go to Sinner. He’s got the crowd, the confidence, and a more polished shot execution. I’m taking Sinner to win this, and it will be a thriller.

Nur Said's Pick: Jannik Sinner in three sets