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Grigor Dimitrov vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction 3/26/25 Miami Tennis Picks

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ATP Miami Prediction: Grigor Dimitrov vs Francisco Cerundolo

March 26, 2025 at 04:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Grigor Dimitrov / Francisco Cerundolo

(Get latest betting odds)

Grigor Dimitrov and Francisco Cerundolo clash in the quarterfinal of the 2025 ATP Miami Open on Wednesday, March 26, 2025. Here’s our Grigor Dimitrov vs Francisco Cerundolo prediction. This preview will also include a Grigor Dimitrov vs Francisco Cerundolo pick.

 

Grigor Dimitrov Preview

Grigor Dimitrov earned a very impressive win over former Next Gen champion Brandon Nakashima to reach the Miami Open quarterfinals for the second year in a row.

The match took 22 games to decide. Dimitrov prevailed 6-4, 7-5 in an hour and 24 minutes. In the victory, Dimitrov fired 25 winners and 17 unforced errors including 12 aces and two double faults.

Dimitrov landed 70% of first serves in play and won 83% of first serve points (33/40). The 14th seed won 65% of second serve points (11/17) and did not face a break point. Dimitrov compiled 26% of return points (14/54) and broke Nakashima’s serve twice.

The Bulgarian reached his first Miami final and lost to Jannik Sinner. Will his second quarterfinal also be a success?

 

Francisco Cerundolo Preview

Francisco Cerundolo scored a 6-4, 6-2 win over 5th seed Casper Ruud in the fourth round. Cerundolo extends his great track record of reaching at least the semis in three of the last four appearances in Miami.

In the victory, Cerundolo hit 31 winners and 19 unforced errors including six aces and one double fault. Cerundolo landed 70% of first serves in play and won 76% of first serve points (28/37). The Argentinian won 69% of second serve points (11/16) and did not face a break point. Cerundolo compiled 44% of return points (29/66) and broke Ruud three times in the match.

As mentioned, this will be Cerundolo’s third quarterfinal in Miami. He was a semifinalist on debut in 2022. Cerundolo improves to 16-6 for the season. Among his best results include reaching the Buenos Aires final and the semifinal of the Santiago 250.

 

Grigor Dimitrov vs Francisco Cerundolo Head-To-Head


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• Dimitrov and Cerundolo have met once on the ATP Tour.

• Dimitrov won their only meeting at Queen’s two years ago in straight sets.

 

Grigor Dimitrov vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction

Both players are coming off two dominant performances with neither facing a break point on serve, making this quarterfinal match evenly poised. The bookies still think Dimitrov is the marginal favorite given his superior hard-court efficiency and success on this surface throughout his career. But we reckon Cerundolo has an equal shot of upsetting him after dismantling a couple of Top 15 players this week.

 

Nur Said's Pick: Francisco Cerundolo in three sets


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