Daniil Medvedev vs Cameron Norrie Beijing Prediction 9/26/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Eighth seed Daniil Medvedev will face former British No.1 Cameron Norrie in the first round of the 2025 China Open in Beijing. The match is scheduled for Friday, September 26. Here’s our Daniil Medvedev vs Cameron Norrie prediction. This preview will also include a Daniil Medvedev vs Cameron Norrie pick.

Daniil Medvedev vs Cameron Norrie Preview

Daniil Medvedev enters this year’s China Open as the number eight seed. Medvedev is ranked 18th in the ATP rankings and is in danger of losing his spot in the top 20 this week. This will be the Russian’s third main draw appearance in Beijing, where he reached the final in 2023 and was a semifinalist last season. Failure to defend semifinal points this week could almost effectively cost Medvedev a spot in the top 20.

Medvedev is coming off a shock quarterfinal defeat to Yibing Wu in Hangzhou this past week, where he kicked off his preparations for this swing a lot earlier after losing three successive matches in North America. So far, Medvedev has compiled 27 wins and 19 losses.

Cameron Norrie was previously the British No. 1 player, but that accolade is now reserved for Jack Draper. Norrie is pushing to rejoin the world’s top 30. He is ranked 34th in the rankings and will make his third main draw appearance in Beijing. He lost in the round of 16 in 2019 and lost his opening match during his last visit two seasons ago.

This year, Norrie has won 31 matches and lost 24, and has a negative win-loss record on outdoor hard courts of 10-13. Norrie has been busy after the US Open third-round defeat to Djokovic. He played at the Davis Cup, where he scored two singles wins, and then played in Chengdu, where he lost in the opening round to Yi Zhou.

Daniil Medvedev vs Cameron Norrie Head-To-Head

Medvedev and Norrie have played five times. Medvedev leads Norrie 4-1 in the head-to-head, but it was Norrie who picked up his first-ever win over the Russian at this year’s French Open in a dramatic five-setter.

Daniil Medvedev vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Norrie enters this match with more wins than Daniil Medvedev. By his high standards, Medvedev’s season has been a disaster and he opted for a coaching change for the first time in eight years. That said, Medvedev has a great track record of frustrating Norrie with his patient point construction that tends to force the Brit to overpress. I’m backing Medvedev, but with his recent form being so unconvincing, he will be stretched.