Aug 4, 2026; Montreal, QC, Canada; Andrey Rublev hits a backhand against Juncheng Shang (CHN) during second round play at IGA Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Eric Bolte-Imagn Images
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Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Prediction 9/29/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Pick details

Hangzhou Open Final: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev

07:30 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Medvedev -213 / Rublev +162

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Daniil Medvedev will face countryman Andrey Rublev in the Hangzhou Open final on Tuesday, September 29. This will be the 10th Tour level meeting between these two players and Medvedev holds a 7-2 lead. Here’s our Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev prediction. This preview will include a Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev pick.

Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Preview

Daniil Medvedev defeated Roman Safiullin in straight sets to reach the Hangzhou Open. Medvedev won a tight first set 7-5, with the only break in the 12th game. The former World No. 1 trailed at the start of the second set, but quickly restored the break back and went on to break Safiullin one more time in the final game to reach the final. This is Medvedev’s fourth final of the season. He’s won two titles this year (Adelaide and Dubai) and lost in Indian Wells.

Andrey Rublev also reached his first final at the Hangzhou Open after the 28-year-old defeated surprise semifinalist Kyrian Kacquet in straight sets. Jacquet put in a valiant display in the opening set where he forced Rublev into a tiebreak, but the Russian dominated the breaker without dropping a single point. In the second set, Rublev’s experience and firepower proved a little too much for the Frenchman as he broke serve twice to complete a 7-6, 6-1 victory. This will be Rublev’s third final of 2026. He lost in Barcelona to Arthur Fils and lifted the trophy in Bastad. 

Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Head-To-Head

Medvedev and Rublev have met nine times. Medvedev holds a commanding 7-2 lead in the head-to-head. However, they have not faced off in three years.

Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Medvedev’s back has been against the wall in certain moments this week, but he came out on top, with the Russian prevailing in close sets against Royer, Wong and Safiullin. Rublev has also been tested, surviving that three-set humdinger against Gaston, but his spot in the final was never in doubt. This is a good matchup for Medvedev, whose patient point construction and retrieval skills tend to frustrate the power-hitting Rublev.  It’s a big if, but should Rublev get the first forehand into play and through Medvedev, he can trouble him. And its been three years since their last meeting and Medvedev’s level has been fluctuating pretty much all season, so I wouldn’t overlook an upset here.

Nur Said's Pick: Rublev in three sets

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