Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction 8/15/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Second seed Coco Gauff will face seventh seed Jasmine Paolini in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Cincinnati Open. The match is scheduled for Friday, August 15. Here’s our Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini prediction. This preview will also include a Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini pick.

Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Preview

Coco Gauff is coming off a straight-sets win over Lucia Bronzetti in the last round of the Cincinnati Open. The match lasted just 80 minutes and took 18 games to decide. Gauff broke Bronzetti’s serve three times in the first set, and her only service game she lost was harmless, as she wrapped up the set 6-2 in 33 minutes. In the second set, Bronzetti and Gauff exchanged breaks early on, and Gauff survived a crucial fifth game to hold for 3-2. Gauff eventually broke Bronzetti for the match in the 10th game to complete a 6-2, 6-4 win.

Gauff finished the match with six aces and three double faults. She landed 67% of first serves in play and won 63% of first serve points (24/38). Gauff won 58% of second serve points (11/19) and saved three of five break points in the match. Gauff has not lost a set in the fortnight, having won her opening match against Wang Xinyu in straight sets and received a walkover from Dayana Yastremska. The American improves her hard-court record this season to 17-6. She won the Cincinnati Open two years ago. Gauff is chasing her first hard-court semifinal of the season.

Jasmine Paolini is the first Top 10 opponent Gauff will face in Cincinnati this week. The Italian powered past former Wimbledon champion Barbora Krejcikova in straight sets in just 65 minutes. In one of her most dominant performances of the season, Paolini broke Krejcikova twice in the opening set and won it in half an hour. And that pattern continued in the second set as Paolini feasted on Krejcikova’s poor serving display to break twice.

Paolini hit one ace and one double fault in the match. She landed 67% of first serves in play and won 80% of first serve points (24/30). Paiolini won 60% of second serve points (9/15) and did not face a break point in the match. Like Gauff, Paolini has not lost a set in the Cincinnati Open but survived a couple of tricky sets against Maria Sakkari and Ashlyn Krueger. This was her 15th win in 22 matches on hard courts and can reach her second semifinal on the surface after Miami.

Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Head-To-Head

Gauff and Paolini have met four times on the WTA Tour. The H2H is tied at 2-2. However, on hard courts alone, Gauff leads 2-0 and defeated Paolini in the quarterfinals of the 2023 Cincinnati Open.

Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction

While the H2H is pretty even, Gauff leads 2-0 on hard courts over Italy’s No. 1. I’ve got to side with Coco here. She can shrink the court with her excellent retrieval skills and naturally walks into every tournament on home soil as a huge favorite. And she also plays with so much intensity and swagger. A dialed Coco especially so deep in the tournament, is tough to beat.