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Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction 3/13/25 Indian Wells Tennis Picks

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Indian Wells Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco Cerundolo

March 13, 2025 at 06:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Carlos Alcaraz / Francisco Cerundolo (to be updated)

(Get latest betting odds)

Carlos Alcaraz and Francisco Cerundolo clash in the quarterfinal of the 2025 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells on Thursday, March 13, 2025. Here’s our Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco Cerundolo prediction. This article will also include a Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco Cerundolo pick.

 

Carlos Alcaraz Preview

Carlos Alcaraz is coming off a 6-1, 6-1 win over 14th seed Grigor Dimitrov. The match lasted for about 64 minutes. In the victory, Alcaraz hit 20 winners and 14 unforced errors. That tally included six aces and two double faults.

Alcaraz landed 75% of first serves in play and won 77% of first serve points (23/30). The second seed won 70% of second serve points (7/10) and saved all three break points he faced. Alcaraz tallied 56% of return points (35/63) and converted five of 14 break points.

Alcaraz has forged a 15-match winning streak in Indian Wells with two titles and yet another quarterfinal appearance. He has won 14 of 16 matches in 2025, losing just once since the Australian Open.

 

Francisco Cerundolo Preview

Francisco Cerundolo recorded a shock win over ninth seed Alex de Minaur to reach his first Indian Wells quarterfinal. The match took 21 games to decide and lasted for an hour and 50 minutes. In the victory, Cerundolo hit 22 winners and 39 unforced errors of which two were aces and five double faults.

Cerundolo landed 58% of first serves in play and won 60% of first serve points (27/45). The Argentinian won 55% of second serve points (18/33) and saved 11 of 14 break points. Cerundolo compiled 54% of return points (36/67) and converted six of seven break points.

Cerundolo is now 13-5 for the season and has reached the quarterfinals or better in his last four ATP tournaments.

 

Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco Cerundolo Head-To-Head

• Alcaraz and Cerundolo have played once on the ATP Tour.

• The Spaniard won a first-round match at the 2024 Queen’s Championships in straight sets.

 

Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction

This is a fifth career Masters 1000 quarterfinal for Cerundolo who is coming off a very impressive straight sets win over de Minaur. But beating Alcaraz is a different ball game. The Spaniard is ruthlessly dispatching his opponents this week, giving away as little as two games against Dimitrov in the last round. Whether it’s a day session or a night session, it doesn’t have any profound effect on his level. This should be another masterclass of a performance from Alcaraz to make his fourth straight semifinal in Indian Wells.

 

Nur Said's Pick: Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets

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