Aug 29, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA; Jasmine Paolini of Italy in action against Marketa Vondrousova of Czech Republic in the third round of the womenís singles at the US Open at Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images

Beijing Prediction: Paolini vs Bouzkova 9/30/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

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China Open Prediction: Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova

September 30, 2025 at 09:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Jasmine Paolini -222 / Marie Bouzkova +175

(Get latest betting odds)

Sixth seed Jasmine Paolini will face Czech World No. 52 Marie Bouzkova in the fourth round of the 2025 China Open in Beijing. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, September 30. Here’s our Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova prediction. This preview will also include a Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova pick.

Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova Preview

Jasmine Paolini is coming off a polished straight-sets win over former Australian Open champion Sofia Kenin in the third round. The match took 15 games to decide. Paolini prevailed 6-3, 6-0 in 67 minutes to reach the last 16 of the China Open for a second time. 

Paolini broke Kenin twice in the first set to lead 5-1 although she gave away one of the breaks while serving for the set on her first attempt. Paolini made sure of the set when serving for a second time, fending off two break points and holding. In the second set, the Italian sixth seed was clinical, breaking Kenin in all three of her service games. Paolini hit 2 aces and 3 double faults in the victory. She landed 80% of first serves in play and won 70% of first serve points (33/47). Paolini won 33% of second serve points (4/12) and saved six of seven break points.

Marie Bouzkova is competing in her second China Open main draw. The Czech lost in the first round back in 2023 and did not participate at the event last season. Bouzkova started her campaign in the first round, where she dismissed Tatjana Maria 6-2, 6-4 in an hour and 14 minutes.

Bouzkova won a tight affair against Magda Linette in the subsequent round 7-5, 7-5 to reach the third round, where she upset 24th seed Veronika Kudermetova in straight sets 6-3, 7-5. In the victory, which took two hours and nine minutes, Bouzkova hit 1 ace and 2 double faults. Bouzkova landed 65% of first serves in play and won 66% of first serve points (27/41). She won 45% of second serve points (10/22) and saved seven of 10 break points. Bouzkova is yet to make a quarterfinal at a WTA 1000 tournament this season.

Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova Head-To-Head


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Paolini and Bouzkova have never met at any level.

Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova Prediction

You would be mistaken to think Paolini’s season was over after helping Italy win the Billie Jean King Cup for the second year in a row. But the 29-year-old remains in the hunt for one of the six spots up for grabs at the WTA Finals, and she hasn’t taken off her foot from the pedal in Beijing as she enters this next contest undefeated in her last five matches.

Nur Said's Pick: Paolini in straight sets

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