Sep 5, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA; Felix Auger-Aliassime of Canada in action against Jannik Sinner of Italy in the semifinal of the men’s singles at the US Open at Arthur Ashe Stadium in Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
Mike Frey-Imagn Images

Basel Prediction: Auger-Aliassime vs Diallo 10/22/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

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Swiss Indoors Prediction: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Gabriel Diallo

October 22, 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime -250 / Gabriel Diallo +180

(Get latest betting odds)

Fifth seed Felix Auger-Aliassime will face World No. 41 Gabriel Diallo in the first round of the 2025 Swiss Indoors in Basel. The match is scheduled for Wednesday, October 22. Here’s our Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Gabriel Diallo prediction. This preview will also include a Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Gabriel Diallo pick.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Gabriel Diallo Preview

Felix Auger-Aliassime is the No. 5 seed in Basel, making his fourth main draw appearance at the tournament. Auger-Aliassime won the title in this event back in 2022 and 2023, but his two-year reign ended last season when he was beaten by the man who dethroned him as champion, Mpetshi Perricard.

Auger-Aliassime is back in Basel in 2025, having climbed to 12th in the ATP rankings after winning 43 matches and losing only 22 times. The Canadian has hoisted three ATP titles this year, including Brussels this past week, where he dropped two sets to lift the trophy. Auger-Aliassime has won 15 of his last 18 matches. The only player to beat him multiple times in that run is Jannik Sinner.

Gabriel Diallo is ranked 41st in the ATP rankings, down from his career high of No. 33. The 24-year-old is unseeded in Basel as he makes his debut appearance. Diallo has had a decent year, in which he won his first title at the Libema Open on grass, and he also reached the Madrid quarterfinals as a lucky loser. 

Diallo has compiled 36 wins and 27 losses in 2025. He has won two of his last three completed matches on tour and is coming off a three-set loss to James Duckworth in Almaty. Diallo is on course to finish the season in the top 40 for the first time, as he doesn’t defend a lot of points in the coming weeks of the season.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Gabriel Diallo Head-To-Head

Auger-Aliassime and Diallo have never met on the ATP Tour.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction

This is an intriguing all-Canadian clash between Auger-Aliassime and Diallo. Auger-Aliassime is Canada’s No. 1 player thanks to another excellent season in which he has lifted three titles. He does not lack confidence ahead of his fourth main draw appearance in Basel, a tournament he has won twice in his career. Diallo will pose a major challenge as this is one of the toughest first rounds Auger-Aliassime could have had. That said, I still fancy the more experienced and accomplished Canadian to win this. Auger-Aliassime has won 15 of his last 18 matches and should be a strong favorite to progress.

Nur Said's Pick: Auger-Aliassime in three sets

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