Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Prediction 6/5/25 French Open Tennis Picks

Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek meet in the semifinals of the 2025 French Open at Roland Garros. The match is scheduled for Thursday, June 5. Here’s our Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek prediction. This preview will also include an Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek pick.

Aryna Sabalenka Preview

Aryna Sabalenka advanced to her second career semifinal at the French Open after exacting revenge against eighth seed Qinwen Zheng. Sabalenka lost to the Chinese player in Rome, which was the final stop of the big tournaments before Roland Garros. The first set was extremely competitive. Zheng saved a set point at 5-6 to force a tie-break. But it was Sabalenka who ran away with the breaker 7-3.

In the second set, Sabalenka broke Zheng three times to wrap up a 7-6, 6-3 victory in two hours. Sabalenka finished the match with 20 winners and 18 unforced errors. She accumulated six aces and two double faults. Sabalenka landed 65% of first serves in play and won 60% of first serve points (24/40). She won 68% of second serve points (15/22) and faced two breakpoints. Sabalenka improves to 16-2 on clay and has reached two finals already on the surface this season.

Iga Swiatek Preview

Iga Swiatek kept her title defense alive with a straight-sets win over Elina Svitolina. The Pole beat the Ukrainian 6-1, 7-5 in an hour and 43 minutes. Swiatek was dominant in the first set, where she broke Svitolina twice. Svitolina got an early break in the second set, taking a 3-1 lead. But Swiatek recovered the break immediately.

With the set staying on serve until late in the 11th game, Swiatek garnered another crucial break. She served for the match to 15. Swiatek hit 23 winners and 29 unforced errors in the match. That included three aces and four double faults. Swiatek landed 58% of first serves in play and won 74% of first serve points (31/42). She won 50% of second serve points (15/30) and saved three of four breakpoints. This was her 26th straight win at the French Open.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Head-To-Head

Swiatek and Sabalenka have met 12 times. Swiatek leads the head-to-head 8-4 and won their two clay meetings last season.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Prediction

It’s the biggest match before the final, and there is overwhelming belief this might just surpass the quality of Saturday’s showpiece. Sabalenka is in the form of her life by every metric you can think of, but Swiatek’s consistency on the dirt is both statistical and historic. We are talking of a player with four Roland Garros crowns who hasn’t lost a match here since 2021. Additionally, what stood out for me is her mental toughness, winning that slugfest against Rybakina when she looked down and out. Swiatek has a way of making the best players look tentative, slow, and powerless on this surface. That said, I’m siding with the three-time defending champion in what will be a blockbuster semifinal.

Nur Said's Pick: Iga Swiatek in three sets