Aryna Sabalenka vs Caty McNally Miami Prediction 3/22/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Aryna Sabalenka faces Caty McNally in the third round of the 2026 Miami Open on Sunday, March 22. Here’s our Aryna Sabalenka vs Caty McNally prediction. This preview will also include an Aryna Sabalenka vs Caty McNally pick.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Caty McNally Preview

Aryna Sabalenka overcame weather frustration to reach the third round of the Miami Open with a hard-fought 7-6, 6-4 victory against World No. 39 Ann Li. Sabalenka took 63 minutes to win a competitive first set in a tiebreak after Li tested her to the very limit. But the American could not keep up that level as Sabalenka broke her twice at the start of the second set and it proved sufficient for the World No. 1 to close out the win in straight sets.

Sabalenka hammered 5 aces and 1 double fault in the match. She landed 72% of first serves in play and won 64% of first serve points (34/53). Sabalenka won 67% of second serve points (14/21) and saved four of six break points. Sabalenka bids to win the Sunshine Double this swing, having captured the Indian Wells title last week. She is the defending champion of the Miami Open.

Caty McNally, for her part, took out China’s Wang Xinyu in three sets. That match took 23 games to decide. McNally prevailed 6-4, 1-6, 6-0 in an hour and 55 minutes. McNally recorded 1 ace and 2 double faults in the victory. She landed 80% of first serves in play and won 65% of first serve points (32/49). McNally won 67% of second serve points (8/12) and saved one of four break points.

Before this, McNally had beaten Rebeka Masarova in the first round of the Miami Open. This is just her third main draw appearance in the tournament, and she has finally won a match in Miami and has officially achieved her best run, but can she keep it up for at least one more round?

Aryna Sabalenka vs Caty McNally Head-To-Head

Sabalenka and McNally have never met, so this will be their first meeting.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Caty McNally Prediction

I just don’t see McNally keeping up with the World No.1 here. Sabalenka is at the top of her game right now. And while most of the talk is about how she outmuscles her opponent with her heavy power, her mental toughness is admirable. She’s found ways to navigate through storms and mid-match frustration as evident in the previous round. Back Sabalenka to cruise into the second week of the Miami Open.

Nur Said's Pick: Sabalenka -6.5 games handicap