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Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik Prediction 3/27/25 Miami Tennis Picks

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ATP Miami Prediction: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik

March 27, 2025 at 01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Arthur Fils -120 / Jakub Mensik -105

(Get latest betting odds)

Arthur Fils and Jakub Mensik clash in the quarterfinal of the 2025 ATP Miami Open on Thursday, March 27, 2025. Here’s our Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik prediction. This preview will also include an Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik pick.

 

Arthur Fils Preview

Arthur Fils earned a second career win over Alexander Zverev to reach the Miami Open quarterfinals. It’s the first time he’s done so and a massive improvement from last year’s first-round defeat. 

The match took 28 games to decide. Fils prevailed 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 in two hours. In the victory, Fils hit 25 winners and 35 unforced errors. That tally included four aces and two double faults. Fils landed 68% of first serves in play and won 69% of first serve points (35/51).

The 17th seed won 67% of second serve points (16/24) and saved one of three breakpoints. Fils compiled 35% of return points (28/80) and broke Zverev three times.

This was the Frenchman’s 11th win from 16 matches. It will be a second straight quarterfinal for Fils at this year’s Sunshine Swing. He lost to Daniil Medvedev at this stage in Indian Wells two weeks ago.

 

Jakub Mensik Preview

Jakub Mensik never lifted his racket to reach the last eight stage in Miami. That’s because his fourth-round opponent, Tomas Machac, withdrew from the tournament.

Before that, Mensik had earned victories over Roberto Bautista Agut, Indian Wells champion Jack Draper, and Russia’s Roman Safiullin. He has dropped just one set in three matches, and that came in his opening round.

Mensik didn’t perform well in Inidna Wells, where he lost in the second round to Karen Khachanov. That was a tough draw for the Next Gen star, who spent the past week competing at the Cap Cana Challenger and reached the semifinals.

Like Fils, Mensik will also contest his first quarterfinal in Miami. He lost in the qualifying rounds last year.

 

Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik Head-To-Head

• Fils leads Mensik 1-0 in the head-to-head.

• He defeated the Czech in the group stage of the 2024 Next Gen Finals in straight sets.

 

Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik Prediction

Fils is projected to rise to a new career-high ranking after the tournament, and he’ll be the new French No. 1. Mensik will climb back into the top 50. I’m siding with Mensik. Fils’ back has been acting up in the last two rounds, requiring some medical attention. It was a blessing in disguise, as he played with an expressive mentality and went all out for his shots. But whether that approach will be sustainable for the remainder of the tournament is questionable. Give me Mensik in three.

Nur Said's Pick: Jakub Mensik in three sets

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