Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction 5/11/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Andrey Rublev faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the third round of the 2026 Rome Masters on Monday, May 11. Here’s our Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction. This preview will also include an Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina pick.

Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Preview

Andrey Rublev ended a two-match losing run with a clinical straight sets win against Miomir Kecmanovic in the second round of the Rome Masters. The match took 20 games to decide. Rublev won the first set 6-4 in 39 minutes, earning a late break that enabled him to serve for the set in the 10th game.

There were successive breaks to begin the second set. Rublev earned two of them to take the lead, and the Russian consolidated from that moment on to wrap up a 6-4, 6-4 victory. Rublev hit 29 winners and 19 unforced errors. He fired 4 aces and 2 double faults. Rublev landed 46% of first serves in play and won 87% of first serve points (20/23). Rublev won 59% of second serve points (16/27) and was broken once in the match.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat the Chilean World No. 104 Cristian Garin in straight sets to reach the third round of the Rome Masters. Neither player dropped serve in a competitive 62-minute first set, which was decided in a tiebreak. Davidovich Fokina dominated throughout to win it 7-2.

At the start of the second set, Davidovich Fokina broke Garin’s serve twice to take a commanding 4-0 lead. Although the Spaniard relinquished one of the breaks back, He made the mistake in serving out for the match on his second attempt. In the victory, Davidovich Fokina hit 27 winners and 33 unforced errors. That included 3 aces and 1 double fault. He landed 63% of first serves in play and won 72% of first serve points (39/54). Davidovich Fokina won 53% of second serve points (17/32) and saved five of six break points.

Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-To-Head

Rublev and Davidovich Fokina have played each other seven times. Rublev leads the series 6-1.

Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

I trust Rublev’s power to edge this. Davidovich Fokina has been woefully inconsistent in recent matches. The Spaniard has the variety and movement to frustrate Rublev, but doesn’t take the initiative to finish points early. That might just allow Rublev to reset and dictate with his potent forehand. The value leans toward Rublev to win this in probably three competitive sets.

Nur Said's Pick: Rublev in three sets