Almaty Prediction: Vukic vs Michelsen 10/16/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Aleksandar Vukic will face Alex Michelsen in the second round of the 2025 Almaty Open on Thursday, October 16. Here’s our Aleksandar Vukic vs Alex Michelsen prediction. This preview will also include an Aleksandar Vukic vs Alex Michelsen pick.

Aleksandar Vukic vs Alex Michelsen Preview

Aleksandar Vukic is coming off a three-set win over German qualifier Marko Topo. The match took 26 games to decide. Vukic prevailed 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 in two hours and 5 minutes. In the victory, Vukic hit 8 aces and 1 double fault. Vukic landed 56% of first serves in play and won 77% of first serve points (34/44). He won 49% of second serve points (17/35) and saved two of four break points.

Vukic posted his first win since Shanghai, where he lost two matches (one in qualifying and the other as a lucky loser in the main draw). Vukic is looking to emulate last year’s run in Almaty where he made the semifinal on his debut, beating Adrian Mannarino and Frances Tiafoe along the way.

Alex Michelsen defeated home wild card Beibit Zhukayev in straight sets to reach the second round. The match took 17 games to decide. Michelsen won the first set 6-2 in 33 minutes, breaking Zhukayev twice towards the end.

In the second set, the American led briefly with a break of serve but gave it back as Zhukayev played an inspired return game to level 3-4 on serve. Michelsen, however, broke again to lead 5-3 and served to 15 for the match.

In the victory, Michelsen hit 3 aces and 2 double faults. Michelsen landed 73% of first serves in play and won 63% of first serve points (29/46). He won 65% of second serve points (11/17) and saved two of three break points. 

Aleksandar Vukic vs Alex Michelsen Head-To-Head

Michelsen leads Vukic 2-0 in the head-to-head. Their last ATP meeting was the 2023 Nottingham Challenger, which Michelsen won in three sets.

Aleksandar Vukic vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

There’s great value on the underdog Vukic here. The Aussie has a massive forehand and he’s quite a handful on this court in Almaty, where he sensationally made the semifinals last season. I think if Vukic stays clean and hammers the lines, he can pick up a win against an inconsistent Michelsen, who was winless in five before this week.

Nur Said's Pick: Vukic in three sets