Pick details
Switzerland (3-0-2) / Argentina (5-0-0)
09:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Switzerland +450 / Argentina -145– Over/Under: 2.5
Argentina Preview
Argentina finished the group phase of the World Cup with 9 points, with three wins and were placed 1st in Group J. They are coming off a 3-2 win over Egypt in the round of 16, where they had 64% possession of the ball and 19 total shots, 7 of them on target. They had 90% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 2.84 compared to Egypt’s 0.89.
Argentina is averaging 2.80 goals per game, while allowing one goal per game. They have a +1.8 goal differential, 2.16 average expected goals, 0.66 average expected goals conceded and +1.5 average expected goal differential. They have 65% possession of the ball and 44% save percentage, while having 2 clean sheets.
Lionel Messi is Argentina’s top scorer with 8 goals. Alexis Mac Allister, Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martínez are Argentina’s top passers, with one assist each.
Switzerland Preview
Switzerland finished the group phase of the World Cup with 7 points, with two wins and one draw and were placed 1st in Group B. They are coming off a 0-0 draw with Colombia (won 4-3 on penalties) in the round of 16, where they had 53% possession of the ball and 7 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 87% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.38 compared to Colombia’s 1.09.
Switzerland is averaging 1.80 goals per game, while allowing 0.6 goals per game. They have a +1.2 goal differential, 2.35 average expected goals, 0.77 average expected goals conceded and +1.6 average expected goal differential. They have 61% possession of the ball and 84% save percentage, while having 2 clean sheets.
Joel Manzambi is Switzerland’s top scorer with 3 goals. Breel Embolo and Joel Manzambi are Switzerland’s top passers, with 2 assists each.
Switzerland vs Argentina Prediction
Argentina has three wins and two draws in its five meetings against Switzerland and the under is 4-1 in those 5 games.
In this Switzerland vs Argentina Prediction, Argentina is coming as -145 favorites. Getting Argentina on the moneyline in that price is a gift. They have been the far better team and they have shown resilience, as they have managed to bounce back in both elimination games to finally win and advance. Switzerland has an elite defense, but will face by far the best offense that has seen in the tournament, as Argentina has scored three goals in three straight games. Argentina also has less expected conceded goals per game (0.66 to 0.77) and the best player in the field, if not in the whole tournament, in Lionel Messi. Take Argentina to win.


