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Southampton vs Tottenham Hotspur 4/6/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Pick details

Southampton (2-24-4) vs Tottenham Hotspur (10-16-4)

April 6, 2025 at 09:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Southampton +600 / Tottenham Hotspur -270 — Over/Under: 3.5

(Get latest betting odds)

Southampton will visit Tottenham Hotspur on Sunday, April 6, 2025, at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in this Week 31 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Southampton vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction. We will examine:

Tottenham Hotspur recent form and player performance

Southampton recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Tottenham Hotspur

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Southampton                                         

Recent betting trends in games played between the Southampton and Tottenham Hotspur

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Southampton vs Tottenham Hotspur game

Tottenham Hotspur Preview

Tottenham Hotspur has 34 points this season and are tied with two more teams on the 14th place of the Premier League standings. Tottenham has a 10-16-4 record this season and have a 5-7-3 home record. Tottenham is coming off a 0-1 home defeat against Chelsea, and have failed to win in their last four Premier League matches. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 games.

Tottenham Hotspur is averaging 1.83 goals per game, which is tied for third-best in the league, while allowing 1.47 goals per game, which is 12th in the league. James Maddison and Brennan Johnson are the top scorers for Tottenham Hotspur this season with 9 total goals apiece. Heung-Min Son is the team’s top passer, with 9 assists made.

Southampton Preview

Southampton has only 10 points this season and is sitting on the last place of the Premier League standings. Southampton has a 2-24-4 record this season and have a terrible 1-12-1 road record. Southampton is coming off a 1-1 home draw against Crystal Palace, that snapped their previous six-game losing streak, and are 1-9-1 in their last 11 games. Over is 13-2 in their last 15 overall games, and 6-0 in their last 6 road games.

Southampton is averaging just 0.73 goals per game, which is the worst in the league, while allowing 2.37 goals per game, which is also last. Paul Onuachu is the top scorer for Southampton this season with 4 total goals. Mateus Fernandes is Southampton’s best passer, with 3 total assists.

Why Tottenham Hotspur will win

  • Tottenham has won eight of its last nine EPL matches against Southampton following a league loss.
  • Tottenham has won six of its last seven EPL home matches against Southampton.
  • Tottenham has won 15 of its last 23 EPL matches against Southampton.
  • Southampton has lost each of its last eight EPL matches following a league draw.
  • Southampton has lost 11 of its last 13 EPL matches.
  • Southampton has lost 15 of its last 18 EPL away matches.

Why Southampton will win

  • Tottenham has lost three of its last four EPL matches.

Total Points Facts

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 19 of Tottenham’s last 21 EPL matches as a home favorite.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 14 of the last 16 EPL matches between Tottenham and Southampton.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 14 of Southampton’s last 16 EPL matches as an underdog against Tottenham.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 11 of Tottenham’s last 13 EPL home matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Tottenham’s last eight EPL home matches against Southampton.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Southampton’s last six EPL away matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 11 of Southampton’s last 12 EPL matches.

Southampton vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, Tottenham won 5-0 on the road. Tottenham is 5-1-2 in their last 8 overall meetings against Southampton, and all of their last four meetings had gone over the 3.5 goal total. Tottenham is 7-1 in their last 8 home meetings against Southampton, and over 3.5 goals is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

In this Southampton vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, Tottenham is coming as massive -270 road favorites. Tottenham is rightfully favored, as they are up against the worst team of the league, but they have not been in good form lately, as they have failed to win in each of their last four league games, so I see no value on either side. Southampton has the worst defense in the league, while Tottenham have the third-best offense, and their previous meeting this season produced 5 total goals. I see another high-scoring game, so take the over 3.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 3.5 Goals

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