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Southampton vs Everton 5/18/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Pick details

Southampton (2-28-6) vs Everton (9-12-15)

May 18, 2025 at 07:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Everton -240 / Southampton +600 — Over/Under: 2.75

(Get latest betting odds)

Manchester United will visit Everton on Sunday, May 18, 2025, at the Goodison Park in this Week 37 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Southampton vs Everton Prediction. We will examine:

Everton recent form and player performance

Southampton recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Everton 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Southampton

Recent betting trends in games played between the Southampton and Everton 

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Southampton vs Everton game

Everton Preview

Everton has 42 points this season and is sitting on the 13th place of the Premier League standings. Everton has a 9-12-15 record this season and have a 4-5-9 home record. Everton is coming off a 3-1 road victory over Fulham, and have just two wins in their last 11 overall games, with six draws and three losses. Under is 8-2 in their last 10 overall games but under is 3-1 in their last 4 home games.  

Everton is averaging just 1.08 goals per games, which is the 4th-worst in the league, while allowing 1.22 per game, which is tied for 6th-best. Beto Bercique is the top scorer for Everton this season with 8 goals, while Iliman Ndiaye follows with 7 goals. Dwight McNeil is the team’s top passer with 5 assists.

Southampton Preview

Southampton has only 12 points this season and is sitting on the last place of the Premier League standings, and have already been relegated. Southampton has a 2-28-6 record this season and have a terrible 1-14-3 road record. Southampton is coming off a surprising 0-0 home draw against Manchester City, and have lost 8 of their last 11 matches. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games, as they have score just two goals in their last five matches.

Southampton is averaging just 0.69 goals per game, which is the worst in the league, while allowing 2.28 goals per game, which is also ranks last. Paul Onuachu is the top scorer for Southampton this season with 4 total goals. Mateus Fernandes is Southampton’s best passer, with 3 total assists.

Why Everton will win

  • Everton has won six of its last eight EPL day matches against Southampton at Goodison Park.
  • Everton has won three of its last four EPL matches against promoted teams at Goodison Park.
  • The home team has won five of the last seven EPL matches between Everton and Southampton.
  • Southampton has lost each of its last 10 EPL matches following a league draw.
  • Southampton has lost each of its six EPL matches this season following a league draw.
  • Southampton has lost 17 of its last 21 EPL away matches.

Total Points Facts

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of Everton’s last six EPL home matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in four of Everton’s last five EPL matches as a favorite.
  • The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Everton’s last five EPL matches as a favorite.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Southampton’s last four EPL day matches at Goodison Park.

Southampton vs Everton Prediction

Southampton has won both meetings against Everton this season. At home for the Premier League with a 1-0 score and on the road for the English Cup with 1-2. Southampton is 4-1 in their last 5 head-to-head meetings against Everton, while both teams are a balanced 3-3-2 in their last 8 meetings in Goodison Park. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 head-to-head meetings, and both teams to score – Yes is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings in Goodison Park.

In this Southampton vs Everton Prediction, Everton is coming as huge -240 home favorites. Everton is rightfully favored, as they have been the better team this season, but both teams have nothing to play for and can be highly unpredictable, just like Southampton got a draw against Manchester City last week.

Both teams are bottom-4 in the Premier League offensively, scoring 1.77 goals combined, and are 11-3 to the under in their last 14 games combined. Their previous meeting for the Premier League this season had only one total goal, and I don’t expect fireworks offensively in today’s game either. Take the under 2.75 goals.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 2.75

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