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Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC 5/28/25 Prediction MLS Picks
Pick details
Philadelphia Union (9-3-3) vs Toronto FC (3-8-4)
May 28, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto FC +190 / Philadelphia Union +130 — Over/Under: 2.5
Philadelphia Union will visit Toronto FC on Wednesday, May 28th, 2025, at the BMO Field in this Week 16 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction. We will examine:
Toronto FC recent form and player performance
Philadelphia Union recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Toronto FC
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia Union
Recent betting trends in games played between the Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC game
Toronto FC Preview
Toronto has 13 points this season and are sitting in the second to last place of the Eastern Conference. Toronto has a 3-8-4 record this season and are 1-5-2 at home. Toronto is coming off a 1-2 home defeat by Nashville, and are 1-5 in their last 6 home games. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 home games.
Toronto is averaging 1.13 goals per game, which is 12th in the East, while allowing 1.33 goals per game, which is 9th in the conference. Federico Bernardeschiis the top scorer for Toronto this season with 4 total goals.
Philadelphia Union Preview
Philadelphia has 30 points this season and are sitting on the first place of the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia has a 9-3-3 record this season, and are 4-2 on the road. Philadelphia is coming off a 3-3 home draw against Inter Miami, and have been red-hot lately, with seven wins and two draws in their last nine games. Over is 8-1 in their last 9 games.
Philadelphia is averaging 2.00 goals per game, which the best in the East, while allowing 1.13 goals per game, which is tied for 4th in the conference. Thai Baribo is the top scorer for Philadelphia this season with 12 total goals.
Why Toronto FC will win
- Toronto FC has won six of its last seven MLS night games against Philadelphia Union at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC has won each of its last three MLS home games against Philadelphia Union.
- The home team has won five of the last six MLS games between Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union.
- Philadelphia Union has lost four of its last five MLS games at BMO Field following a draw.
Why Philadelphia Union will win
- Philadelphia Union has won four of its last six MLS away games.
- The away team has won six of Toronto FC’s last seven MLS games.
- Toronto FC has lost seven of its last eight MLS night games as a home underdog.
- Toronto FC has lost four of its last six MLS games.
Total Points Facts
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of the last five MLS games between Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union at BMO Field.
- The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in six of Toronto FC’s last seven MLS home games.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Toronto FC’s last nine MLS home games against Philadelphia Union.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Philadelphia Union’s last 11 MLS games at BMO Field.
Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction
Both teams are a perfectly balanced 5-5-3 in their last 13 meetings, but Toronto is a dominating 9-1-2 in their last 12 meetings at home. Over is 11-1 in their last 12 meetings and 11-1 in their last 12 meetings in Toronto.
In this Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction, Philadelphia Union is coming as +130 road favorites. Philadelphia Union is rightfully favored, as they have more than twice points than Toronto this season and have been in excellent form lately. Toronto is struggling mightily at home this season, but they have a good history at home against Philadelphia, but I don’t think it will matter in this game. Philadelphia has been red-hot offensively, and are scoring almost twice as many goals as Toronto this season. Give me the better team to win for plus money. Take the Philadelphia Union on the moneyline.